Angry Bear

What are ACA Enrollees Paying this Year due to Trump/GOP Policies?

NATIONAL: How much more are ACA enrollees *really* paying this year due to Trump/GOP policies? ACA Signups, Charles Gaba Partial post taken from; “How much more are ACA enrollees *really* paying this year due to Trump/GOP policies?” Charles Gaba @ ACA Signups. Nationally, on average, net ACA premiums have jumped by 58% this year vs. last, from […]

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Crypto Meme Coin

Bit of Robert Reich running the numbers on Crypto Memecoin for 2025. Trump came out ahead and everyone else lost. Care to buy another bottle of “Doctor Good” from Tr__p. It is kind of hard to understand how a president of future president could hoodwink his constituents. But he did. “‘Once a crypto skeptic, Mr. […]

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Making America unhealthy again

You probably have read about increasing reports of violent and potentially life-threatening diarrhea caused by cyclospora in multiple states. Cyclospora isn’t new, but the Trump administration stopped tracking it. “As of July 1, the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet) program has reduced surveillance to just two pathogens: salmonella and Shiga toxin-producing E. coli (STEC), […]

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Political Parties

Unless and until something better — democracy first.  First because democracy gives the power of governance to those governed.  Ours, democracy itself, is a work in progress. One that is always asking, what can we do to make our democracy work better?  Along that vein, herein is a look at some of the pros and […]

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Destroying America According to Trump

Pres. Tr__p is whining about the SCOTUS decision granting magazine columnist E. Jean Carroll her $5million suit against Tr__p. Tough breaks when one person assaults another and denigrates them also. “The Supreme Court’s ruling is wrong,” Trump posted on social media. “I will be asking for a Rehearing by the United States Supreme Court, IMMEDIATELY. This miscarriage […]

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The housing market’s new suboptimal equilibrium: flat, flat, and flat

 – by New Deal democrat It has been four years since the Fed started aggressively raising interest rates, causing mortgage rates to rise similarly. It has been over four years since home sales peaked, and also about four years since the median price of a new home peaked. Finally, it has also been four years […]

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Technology and Social Change

4 years and counting since the release of AI upon the public. The author (Paul) touches upon this initially than goes forward discussing things other than technology change. A welcome relief? I am not sure. The reader has to determine such. “AI’s ubiquity, its economic impact remains unclear. We don’t yet know what it will […]

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What is Going on at SCOTUS? Attempted Ban on Semi-Automatics and Birthright Decision

Beyond the Headlines: The Supreme Court’s Final Decisions” (two), Civil Discourse, Joyce Vance First one is ongoing and the second was decided. About a five-minute read with clear explanations and more detail on the site. – Bans on Semi-Automatic rifles? Are bans legal? In particular the AR-15 is being discussed. Some explanation and still a […]

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The triumph of hope over experience?

Green Mountain College in Poultney VT closed in 2019 due to insufficient funds. Now, a traveling Pentecostal preacher from Florida has announced on Facebook (from Disneyland) that he’s gonna make it into a Christian fundamentalist college in the least religious state in the nation. The whiskey magnate Raj Bhakta bought the campus in 2020 and […]

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Once was not Enough

Taken from today’s SCOTUS Blog. The president thinks he is special and is entitled to second hearing by SCOTUS on the same issues.. President Jjackass is again attempting to have birthright overridden in SCOTUS; Trump wants court to rehear birthright citizenship case,” SCOTUSblog. “President Donald Trump announced that he would seek ‘to get the Supreme […]

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Jobles claims: the “low-hire, *no*-fire” regime continues, as the “Quick and Dirty” forecast model remains positive

 – by New Deal democrat Let’s take our regular weekly look at jobless claims. In addition to being 1/2 of my “quick and dirty” forecasting system (the other 1/2 being stock prices), they have a 60 year history of being a good short leading indicator. [Later this morning we’ll get existing home sales, and I’ll […]

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Quote of the day

The U.S. abandoning NATO now doesn’t mean Europe will revert to a 1914 mindset; too many economic, cultural, and political threads have been sewn together in the post-WWII period for it to revert to that arrangement. But it is a distinctly American myopia to think Europe will stand pat, won’t evolve on its own as […]

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Yes, wars have consequences, and the war with Iran seems to have been a serious mistake.

Tyler Cowen has a post up about recent developments in the U.S./Iran war. His post contains criticism of some not-so-smart and confused but unnamed others, and an attempt to win an argument with these unnamed opponents by questioning their credentials. I find this an unhelpful mode of argument. But he does ask an interesting question, […]

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Once Again It Appears Iran has Rejected the Three Doors Being Offered-Up in “Tr__P Making Deals” Proposal

I keep imaging a a bizarre format “lets make a deal” by Tr__p attempting to entice Iran to accept a cease-fire in what he calls a “deal.” No other president has offered up (so many) deals when he negotiates or legislates. Just to be clear. I am aware of Teddy Rosevelt’s Square Deal, then Franklin […]

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Regional Fed surveys confirm manufacturing rebound: services, not so much

 – by New Deal democrat Yesterday I looked at the economically weighted ISM manufacturing and services indexes, pointing out that they have shown a rebound this year. Today let’s take a brief look at the regional Fed manufacturing and services indexes. Below are the manufacturing and services indexes, averaged over the four Fed districts whose […]

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The V28 Model Balances the Differences Between Medicare Advantage and Traditional Medicare Plans

This is not new news. It goes back for years. Medicare Advantage costs more than Medicare. Much of this is due to price setting. Advantage plans will receive overpayments of approximately $76 billion Center for American Progress above what the same care would cost in traditional FFS Medicare. This is nothing new. It has been […]

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We must be better

“In 2017, Roy Moore was accused of sexual misconduct with teenage girls, including one who was fourteen at the time of the alleged assault. Nine women came forward. The reporting was extensive and documented. The Republican Party of Alabama endorsed him anyway. The President of the United States endorsed him. He lost by less than […]

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Scenes from the June jobs report: a weak but improving economy

– by New Deal democrat There’s no important new economic news today, so let’s take a somewhat deeper dive into last Thursday’s employment report for June. To cut to the chase, this is of a piece of my “Big Picture” narrative from Friday in which I wrote that most of the signals suggest and economy coming […]

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