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Econ' Notables & Quotable for the Week of 1.30.09

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Greetings everyone to the second edition of Econ’ Notables & Quotable.  We’re still trying to get the kinks out of this, get the format right and what have you.  As always, I look forward to your comments and critique.  If you have any ideas on how to improve EN&Q, don’t hesitate to let me know.  Well, without further adieu, let’s begin the show!

 

Sunday Morning Comics - The Oh So Stimulating Edition

Sponsored by The Outsourcing Industry - We're just so ready for our Stimulus, Thanks America!
Cup O' Joe

 

Good Morning! Rise and Shine! Get that Cup O' Joe...
break out the O.J....hang out with the pooch...time to check out the Funnies!

 

The Big Picture invited guest blogger Dr. Seuss to explain Good Bank, Bad Bank.

 

if bankers were...
from Bagley:

More evidence for the "Black September" consumer fear thesis

Here's how the NY Times described the "surprse" not-so-bad Fourth Quarter GDP yesterday:

The actual decline in the gross domestic product — at a 3.8 percent annual rate — fell short of the 5 to 6 percent that most economists had expected for the fourth quarter. But that was because consumption collapsed so quickly that goods piled up in inventory, unsold but counted as part of the nation’s output.

“The drop in spending was so fast, so rapid, that production could not be cut fast enough,” said Nigel Gault, chief domestic economist at IHS Global Insight. “That is happening now, and the contraction in the current quarter, as a result, will probably exceed 5 percent.”

(hat tip Ksho1)

Friday Movie Night - Trade and The WTO

 It's Friday Night! Party Time!   Time to relax, put your feet up on the couch, lay back, and watch some detailed videos on economic policy!

 

Today we are hearing how Buy American is this awful thing, lobbyists screaming threats of boogie man trade war, retribution from the biggest bad ass on the global stage, The World Trade Organization, and other fear mongering things that go bump in the night when the United States tries to stimulate it's own domestic economy in any method that might actually....stimulate the economy.

So, with that, today's videos are a lassoed roundup describing the history of trade, some facts about the WTO and US trade policy.

First up in a more layman's documentary describing what the WTO really is:

Economic Indicators during the Roaring Twenties and Great Depression (V).

This is the concluding installment in my series examining how the most reliable economic indicators during the Inflationary Era, perform during periods of deflation. I have done this by examining the Roaring Twenties, Great Depression, New Deal, and the Post WW 2 deflationary recession. The reason for doing so is that we are now in the midst of the first deflationary recession in 60 years. Most indicators used by economists and pundits do not exist or have never been tested that far back in time. Indicators which may work during inflations may not work during deflations. Having set forth the data for you, today we show exactly how two such indicators -- monetary and interest rates -- panned out, and the implications of those conclusions to our present situation.

Preventing green vs. blue

This was originally posted on Grist.org

The N.Y. Times, in an article entitled "Geography is dividing Democrats over energy", makes much of an alleged split between those on the coasts, east and west, vs. those in the middle, as in the Midwest and Plains states. Somehow coal and manufacturing are grouped together, against a concern for global warming:

"There's a bias in our Congress and government against manufacturing, or at least indifference to us, especially on the coasts," said Senator Sherrod Brown, Democrat of Ohio. "It's up to those of us in the Midwest to show how important manufacturing is. If we pass a climate bill the wrong way, it will hurt American jobs and the American economy, as more and more production jobs go to places like China, where it's cheaper."

Economic Indicators during the Roaring Twenties and Great Depression (IV).

Previously in Part I of this series, I explained the need to re-examine economic indicators to determine how they performed in previous periods of deflation. In Part II, I looked at the year-over-year M1 vs. CPI indicator during the Roaring Twenties. In Part III, I looked at the same indicator during the 1930s and the post-World War 2 deflationary recession of 1948-49. That examination showed that, in the 1920-1950 period, the M1 vs. CPI indicator generally worked well, but missed the 1927 recession and most importantly of all completely failed to appropriately signal the beginning, duration, or end of the 1929-32 Great Contraction.

IV. Interest rates and the yield curve

In this installment, I will look at NY Fed interest rates, short term rates, and long term rates as they apply to the entire 1920-1950 period.

Tax Cuts, Tax Cuts - Oh the Fictitious Mantra of Tax Cuts!

The House Just passed the Stimulus and the majority of the debate was on tax cuts.

Who here knows that continual mantra of tax cuts being sung in D.C. is just the echos of a dead religion? Yet debate it back and forth they go.

How about not give any tax cuts in the Stimulus and move onto the real portions of the package which will have the best effect?

Citizens for Tax Justice have just released an analysis on the GOP tax cuts versus the current tax cuts in the Stimulus bill.

Robert Reich's Supercapitalism (book review)

I was inspired to read Robert B. Reich's latest book Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy, and Everyday Life after seeing him numerous times on shows such as The Rachel Maddow Show and Countdown with Keith Olbermann this past month or so. His insights on economic issues are invaluable and usually spot on. I have long admired Reich, who was one of the few genuinely liberal voices in the more moderate Clinton Administration, and perhaps the best, most effective Secretary of Labor in the post World War II era.

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