America and China appear to be locked in a financial embrace turned toxic. If America is running perennial trade deficits and if American consumers are running dire savings deficits, then China appears to be wrestling with the opposite peril: a worsening inflationary spiral caused by a tsunami of incoming ever-cheaper dollars.
I won't pretend to be an expert on China's stock or bond market, but then again finding such discussion of financial conditions in China seems to be just about impossible. What I do know a little about is financial history, and what conditions in stock and even moreso bond markets can tell us about where an economy is going.

With that in mind, it is worthwhile to look at China's markets and ask ourselves, "If this was the US, where would the economy be heading?" The answer (while enviable compared to America's condition) ain't so pretty.