Recent comments

  • With all due respect SR, did you read the article or just the title? You are correct, but I make that point in the article.

    Reply to: If It’s Really About Conservative Purity Then Endorse Darrell Castle or Shut Up   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • Aside from their deeply religious convictions, the Constitution Party's paleocon stances make them more similar to Trump's brand of conservatism, than the business, globalist-friendly, neocon-welcome conservatism of the NeverTrumpers. As such, there's no way they'd support Castle over Trump. It's not really a matter of what's "conservative" or not, other than what is one's definition of conservative. NeverTrumpers are either Old or New Rich types who are in favor of the economic status quo. They don't care for what the Constitution Party is selling.

    What I'm more puzzled by is why the Constitution Party isn't endorsing Trump this time around, like the American Independent Party already has in California. The only thing they differ on with Trump is on social matters, but one would think that Pence shores him up.

    Reply to: If It’s Really About Conservative Purity Then Endorse Darrell Castle or Shut Up   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • They just don't care. They are corrupt.

    Reply to: Americans Rethink Free Trade   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • The future is bleak with either of these two. The question is how long can the US and the current system last?

    My brother is an engineer and he does not see the danger of H-1Bs to his job. He reads business weak. The fool.

    Reply to: Hillary’s Speech and an Outsourcing Ad Against Her   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • i saw this coming in 1992 when i was 25 years old. i voted for Ross Perot. The only billionaire that actually cared about the little guy.

    Unfortunately, i still believe the "elites" in both parties still don't get it and change is still a generation away.

    Reply to: Americans Rethink Free Trade   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • I believe Mr. Richardson helped establish the Peace and Freedom Party in FL because he supported their nominee, Roseanne Barr. He is not easily pigeon holed.

    Thanks for the response.

    Reply to: The Reform Party's Branding Problem and Election 2016   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • construction spending for all three months of the 2nd quarter was lower than reported by the BEA in the advance report for 2nd quarter GDP... annualized construction spending for April was revised $9.9 billion lower, and annualized construction spending for May was revised $2.4 billion lower...in reporting 2nd quarter GDP, the BEA's technical note indicated that they had estimated June residential construction would be $3.9 billion greater than that of the previously reported May figure, and that June nonresidential construction would be $1.4 billion greater than that of the reported May figure...with this report, May residential construction spending was revised from the originally reported $451.9 billion to $445.9 billion, while May nonresidential construction spending was revised from the originally reported $407.4 billion to $410.7 billion....that means the BEA overestimated June construction spending by $8.0 billion...the annualized figure for 2nd quarter construction spending would thus be $6.8 billion less than the figure used by the BEA when computing 2nd quarter GDP, implying a .23 percentage point reduction to 2nd quarter GDP...

     
    meanwhile, the aggregate value of June factory inventories fell for the 13th time in the past fourteen months, decreasing by $0.5 billion or 0.1 percent to $619.1 billion,....June inventories of durable goods decreased in value by $1.0 billion or 0.3 percent to $381.3 billion, revised from the 0.2% decrease that was reported in the advance report....the value of non-durable goods' inventories increased by $0.5 billion or 0.2% to $237.9 billion, following a decrease of 0.3% in May...the BEA's technical note for 2nd quarter GDP indicates that they had estimated that the value of non-durable goods inventories would increase by $19.3 billion,.so if i'm reading this right, that would indicate a substantial reduction to 2nd quarter GDP on the order of $18.8 billion, or a 0.64 percentage point hit to 2nd quarter growth..
     
    Reply to: While Q2 GDP Is Bad News, the Revisions are Worse   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • Mr. Phillips:

    While you may have already come to a personal decision with respect to candidates , I would like to offer a counter perspective for those members of the Party who are open to considering all candidates. I happen to know both the Reform Party and Mr. De La Fuente quite well. Dismissing Mr. De La Fuente as a "cookie-cutter progressive Democrat whining about Trump" is as much a mischaracterization as suggesting that Mr. Darcy is closely aligned with the Reform Party's core principles or national platform.

    When Mr. Darcy elected not to attend the Reform Party's 2012 convention he stated, "I never really liked going to funerals, so I skipped the Philadelphia convention." Instead, he directed his energy toward establishing the Peace and Freedom Party in Florida, whose national platform begins: "The Peace and Freedom Party, born from the civil rights and anti-war movements of the 1960s, is committed to socialism, democracy, ecology, feminism, racial equality, and internationalism." While many of those elements are compatible with the reform Party's positions, I have a hard time rationalizing "socialism" as with the reform party I know.

    Conversely, Mr. De La Fuente may be a progressive relative to social issues, but he is a conservative relative to fiscal issues (although he would admonish me for using the term "conservative" over his preferred term: "rational"). Much like Donald Trump, he is a non-traditional candidate who has been extremely successful in the private sector. He has created thousands of jobs across the United States and throughout South and Central America that have allowed families to "move up" from a socio-economic perspective. In fact, he is similar to Mr. Trump in many ways except he believes in treating people with respect. He also is a minority, so he is naturally more sensitive to minority issues than is Mr. Trump and he doesn't have to pretend to understand those issues as so many other traditional candidates do.

    Mr. De La Fuente also brings another unique experience to the table. He overcame what previously were thought to be insurmountable barriers to gain ballot access in the Democratic primary (40 states, 5 territories and the District of Columbia) only to suffer election anomalies and outright fraud. For example, on one occasion, Mr. De La Fuente's vote total went DOWN by over 8,000 votes during a 20 minute period in Travis County, Texas. He understands how rampant election manipulation has become and how it must be brought to the American public's attention and stopped (something that is in total alignment with the Reform Party's core principles).

    Having been the leading independent candidate for President of the United States in 2012, I can assure you that the Reform Party's candidate will not win the 2016 Presidential election. The question is whether the Party will field a candidate who can attract national attention and truly make a difference (such as on the issue of election reform). Mr. De La Fuente has already established ballot lines in several states, has signature petitions going through validation in about a dozen more, and is currently gathering petitions in about a half-dozen more states with plans to pursue filings in others as well.

    I hope this helps fill the gap in information that others may be experiencing and brings some balance to their consideration as well.

    Reply to: The Reform Party's Branding Problem and Election 2016   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • Very interesting analysis, but wouldn't converting the Reform Party into an anti-globalist, pro-MAR, post-Trump successor party essentially turn it into a non-theocratic version of the Constitution Party? Not that there's anything wrong with that, the CP seems to be the least generally appealing of the big three third parties, maybe a revised Reform that's returned to its Perotista roots could supplant the CP for wider appeal.

    Reply to: The Reform Party's Branding Problem and Election 2016   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • boom prices probably encourage overinvestment in new production which ultimately leads to a supply glut and a bust...the bust in turn leads to a long period of little new investment in exploration and exploitation while the older fields deplete, eventually leading to a period where demand outstrips supply and another boom..

    Reply to: New Well Productivity Triples in the Utica; Gasoline Supplies at a Summertime High   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • Forgot to see if there is a cycle pattern to oil boom and bust.

    Reply to: New Well Productivity Triples in the Utica; Gasoline Supplies at a Summertime High   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • A billionaire and here come the Clintons.

    Reply to: George Will and the Failure of WASP Conservatism   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • oil crashed to $7 a barrel in 1986, and except for a few geopolitcal spikes, stayed in a range below $25 a barrel till about 1998...

    Reply to: New Well Productivity Triples in the Utica; Gasoline Supplies at a Summertime High   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • It seems prices plummeted in the 90's and stayed that way for at least a decade but I'm not sure. Do you know?

    BTW: I am modifying the site code and have been, why no writing. Almost at a stopping point. Email me if anyone sees weird bugs of course.

    Reply to: New Well Productivity Triples in the Utica; Gasoline Supplies at a Summertime High   3 years 1 month ago
    EPer:
  • As I said on Facebook, I think the Stoddard - Cruz/Cruz supporters comparison is more accurate than the Doniphon - Trump comparison, but the point is more that different times call for different actions, and now is not the time for finger wagging about principles.

    Reply to: Anti-Trumpers, Please Watch The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:
  • Hum...don't recall Wayne's Tom Doniphon character being a man of big deals, forcing eminent domain laws, bankruptcy. Much less did Wayne's Doniphon have the moral depth of character to brag of bedding down married women. Trump as John Wayne...don't think so.

    Indeed, Trump seems far more likely a big-shot bully perl Liberty Valance...ready to cash in on a $billion-dollar$ Deal if the Neo-Cons offer it in Urkaine, Syria, Poland, Russia. Doubt seriously Trump would have fared well in a Wayne western...unless grossly miscast.;-)

    Reply to: Anti-Trumpers, Please Watch The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:
  • My experience is they revise internally before we see it on trade data and those import/export price deflators are often key.

    So glad you covered this though, trade is now a huge campaign issue.

    Reply to: The 10.1% Increase in the May Trade Deficit Was Not Bad Enough to Hit GDP   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:
  • producer prices for finished goods were up 0.7% in May, following an increase of 0.2% in April, with producer prices for energy goods up 2.8% and core producer prices up 0.3%, so after factory inventories are adjusted for inflation, they will likely show a real decrease on the order of 0.8% for the month, following the 0.3% real decrease in April...thus with two months of factory inventory data in the books, then, it appears that this real inventory contraction will result in a substantial subtraction from 2nd quarter GDP figures when they're released at the end of July...

    Reply to: Factory Orders Declined by -1.0% for May   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:
  • i just realized that construction spending went through an annual revision (i thought it had one a few months ago) so i'll have to recompute the quarterly change against the revised 4th quarter data, but it still looks huge..

    Reply to: Q1 2016 GDP Revised Upward to 1.1%   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:
  • "Inherent in the genteel manners that purportedly characterized old WASP society was the concept of noblesse oblige, the idea that with station and wealth comes an obligation to the less fortunate."

    I think that's a bit much to say.

    Reply to: George Will and the Failure of WASP Conservatism   3 years 2 months ago
    EPer:

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