Tesla Earnings Preview: "Braced For A Miss"

Tesla reports after the US market close on Wednesday and according to the UBS trading desk, there has been very little discussion around TSLA lately, with the stock drifting 14% lower for most of the year until last week, when it squeezed higher to trade just below $390. 

The company has been the laggard among mega-cap peers despite still-lofty expectations. Consensus points to 1Q revenue of about $22.7 billion, with adjusted EPS around 38 cents and roughly 25 cents on a reported basis, even as deliveries of about 358,000 vehicles missed forecasts and flagged softer core auto demand. Analysts still expect a sharp rebound, with roughly 30% profit growth and a 15% increase in revenue.

Markets will likely overlook near-term weakness but focus heavily on what’s next: Investors are looking for updates on the robotaxi rollout, AI and robotics, as well as clarity on cash burn tied to a planned step-up in capex to as much as $20 billion this year. The disconnect is stark: as Bloomberg notes, a cyclical slowdown in autos versus an equity story still priced on long-duration growth, reflected in valuation metrics that are stretched across the board (roughly 184x forward earnings, ~15x sales and over 100x EV/EBITDA).

Taking a step back, the good news for Tesla - and the broader market - is that earnings revisions for the S&P 500 continue to trend higher for 2026 and 2027, even if largely concentrated in a handful of AI stocks - and early results have been solid, with a strong beat rate. But the reaction function is fading. According to Bank of America, stocks are no longer rewarding top and bottom line beats as they typically do, suggesting a high bar for earnings driven gains as the index hovers near all-time highs. 

Tesla, as one of the highest-duration names in the market, becomes a key test of that dynamic. If management reinforces the AI/autonomy narrative and justifies elevated capex, it supports the broader recovery in tech. But the overhang remains what is going on with Iran and the state of peace talks. This is not a market driven by idiosyncratic earnings. Netflix’s 10% drop alongside rising indexes underscores that geopolitics are taking precedence.

UBS analyst Joe Spak upgraded TSLA from Sell to Neutral last week as the stock reached his price target, and now sees a more balanced risk/reward profile - near‑term demand challenges and an investment phase offset by a longer‑term physical AI opportunity.

For 1Q, Spak expects an EPS miss, which is unlikely to be a surprise. UBS is modeling adjusted EPS of $0.33 versus $0.44 consensus. However, Spak believes the buy side is already braced for a miss based on 1Q26 delivery data, particularly weaker energy storage deployments.

Spak is modeling auto gross margins (ex‑credits) of 16.1% versus 15.5% consensus, believing FSD could help keep margins slightly elevated. If Tesla books an IEPPA receivable this quarter, that could further support gross margins and provide upside to expectations. Otherwise, Spak expects updates on Tesla’s long‑term vision, primarily focused on Robotaxi, Optimus, FSD, and the TeraFab.

Key areas where UBS expects additional detail include:

1. Color on demand trends across all regions
2. Reasons behind the energy storage deployment miss and implications for the balance of the year
3. Updates on Robotaxi deployment across additional cities
4. Progress on Gen 3 Optimus
5. Capex outlook not only for 2026 but beyond, including funding plans (TeraFab, solar, etc.)
6. Progress on the six factories TSLA plans to build this year
7. Commentary on commodity and logistics costs

Tune in shortly after the close for the full results.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 15:34

Duffy Seeking $10 Billion From Congress To Revamp Air Traffic Control System

Authored by Aldgra Fredly via The Epoch Times,

U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said on April 21 the department requires $10 billion in additional funding from Congress to overhaul the nation’s air traffic control with a new software system.

Duffy told Reuters in an interview that the additional funding would go toward developing new software aimed at improving the efficiency of air travel and reducing flight delays.

“This tool lets us see and then spread flights in a way that allows for way less disruption,” he told the news outlet. “We could fix this.”

Congress allocated $12.5 billion last year under the One Big Beautiful Bill to upgrade air traffic control infrastructure and equipment to enhance aviation safety. At an April 21 event, Duffy provided an update on the project, saying it is expected to be completed in about two and a half years.

Duffy said the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has replaced nearly 50 percent of ​copper ⁠wires, converted 270 radio sites nationwide, installed new surface awareness systems at 54 airports, and transitioned 17 towers to electronic flight strips using the allocated budget from Congress.

“We are going to need more money for the software side of this build,” he said at the event.

“Congress is ... going to have to find a pathway to get us the rest of that money. It’s going to take us time to develop it, deploy it, debug it, train on it. And so getting that software started now, hopefully as our build completes with all of the infrastructure, we will have the technology of the software ready to meet up in two and a half years and have a brand new system for America to use.”

The Transportation Department said in January the overhaul would involve launching an airspace modernization office to oversee the installation of a new air traffic control system and creation of an advanced aviation technologies office to oversee the integration of drones and other air mobility vehicles into U.S. airspace.

The FAA will also move more key leadership posts to permanent roles and consolidate management of finance, information technology, and human resources under the administrator, according to the Transportation Department, adding that the restructuring will not lead to workforce reductions.

Multiple safety-related incidents happened at airports over the past year due to equipment issues. In May 2025, air traffic controllers in Denver were forced to switch to emergency backup frequencies after they lost contact with aircraft for about 90 seconds. The controllers had to use emergency backup because both primary and main backup frequencies went down.

Another incident took place in late April 2025, when controllers overseeing Newark Liberty International Airport lost contact with planes for about 30 seconds, leading to flight delays.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 15:20

Two Armed Robbers Steal $1.8 Million From Brinks Armored Truck In Philadelphia

Authored by Bryan Jung via PJMedia.com,

Two masked men armed with rifles carried out a brazen daylight robbery of a Brinks armored truck  in the Tacony section of Northeast Philadelphia, escaping with what authorities say could be as much as $1.8 million in cash.

Philadelphia Police Department officials told ABC 6 that the robbery occurred around 9:45 a.m on April 21 on the 7200 block of Torresdale Avenue, as the Brinks truck was servicing a Budget Financial Center.

Brinks is a national security and cash logistics company that transports money for banks and retailers.

According to law enforcement officials, a blue Acura SUV pulled into the lot, with two suspects dressed in black jumping out, brandishing rifles and confronting the driver before seizing bags of cash.

No injuries were reported, with the suspects fleeing the scene within seconds, witnesses said.

Surveillance footage reviewed by investigators shows the men exiting the vehicle and pointing a rifle at the armored truck employee.

Shortly after the heist, police located a blue Acura believed to have been used in the robbery under Interstate 95 near Front Street and Fairmount Avenue in the city’s Northern Liberties neighborhood.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation is now leading the investigation alongside local police, as authorities work to identify the suspects and recover the stolen cash.

This robbery follows a year-long string of armored truck heists in the Philadelphia region, including separate incidents in 2025 involving armored delivery trucks.

Three men were charged last June for stealing around $2 million from a truck in the Port Richmond robbery, while later that month, another pair of robbers with AR-style rifles held up a Loomis driver who was delivering cash to an Aldi store on Whitaker Avenue in Northeast Philadelphia, taking around $100,000 and the driver's handgun.

Three men robbed a Brinks driver on July 2 at the Holmesburg Shopping Center on Frankford Avenue, stealing an undisclosed amount of cash and the driver’s firearm.

On July 15, two armed men armed with AR style rifles attempted to rob a Brinks driver in the Rhawnhurst section of Philadelphia, but fled after the driver opened fire.

The Brinks employee drew his duty weapon and began firing in the direction of the suspects, one of whom fled on foot, while the second drove away in a black Nissan Maxima from the scene.

On July 22, an armed man robbed around $700,000 from a Brinks truck outside an H Mart grocery store in Cheltenham, which was the scene of another Brinks robbery on August 12 by two unknown suspects.

The two suspects took a bag filled with money and fled the scene in a black Acura, which was later recovered, according to the FBI.

In October, two more men were indicted on charges of robbing Brinks trucks in Elkins Park, Montgomery County, and on Castor Avenue in Northeast Philadelphia.

Federal investigators have previously linked the multiple 2025 incidents involving Brinks trucks to organized criminal gangs using similar tactics, including stolen vehicles and high-powered firearms.

Officials are asking anyone with information to contact law enforcement as the suspects remain at large.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 14:40

Trump Deploys Five Defense Production Act Memos For American Energy

President Trump signed five presidential determinations under Section 303 of the Defense Production Act on Monday. All five declare critical energy capacities essential to national defense and authorize federal purchases, commitments, and financing to cut through financing shortages, permitting delays, and supply chain choke points. 

Any mention of renewables are noticeably absent, as the administration has been pounding the table on the reliability of coal and natural gas, especially through the recent winter storm...

"Sleep Tight, America. We Got This": NatGas And Coal Power Plants Prevented Grid Collapse During Historic Winter Blast https://t.co/CvAfdeiwts

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 27, 2026

They sit under the national energy emergency we flagged back in January 2025. The moves target fossil fuel production and the infrastructure that actually moves power, while nuclear and geothermal get their own lanes.

Section 303 of the DPA allows the government to act as the financial support for these industries due to the administration’s interpretation that the private sector can't do it on their own. 

Domestic Petroleum Production, Refining, And Logistics Capacity

This determination covers exploration, production, refining, gathering and transmission pipelines, storage, and marine terminals. DPA authorities now back projects to secure jet fuel, diesel, and gasoline for the military and industrial base, cutting reliance on foreign suppliers that have weaponized energy in the past.

Coal Supply Chains And Baseload Power Generation Capacity

Coal mining, rail and barge transport, terminals, on site stockpiles, and plant life extensions all get the treatment. The memo stresses that baseload coal power remains irreplaceable for defense installations and the exploding electricity demand from AI and manufacturing. Federal support will speed maintenance and logistics that markets alone have left stalled.

Natural Gas Transmission, Processing, Storage, And LNG Capacity

Pipelines, compression, processing plants, underground storage, LNG liquefaction, and export facilities fall under this one. The goal is steady domestic supply plus stronger exports to allies. Long lead times for equipment and construction are the stated problem. 

Development, Manufacturing, And Deployment Of Large Scale Energy And Energy Related Infrastructure

This broader determination is for engineering, site acquisition, permitting, early stage financing, and domestic manufacturing capacity for large energy projects. It removes the capital and regulatory friction that has slowed big builds across the sector, creating a practical foundation for faster scaling wherever the need is greatest.

Grid Infrastructure, Equipment, And Supply Chain Capacity

Transformers, transmission lines, substations, high voltage breakers, power electronics, and the full upstream supply chain are targeted here. Aging equipment, foreign dependence, and slow domestic output threaten reliability. The action backs US manufacturing to harden the grid that must carry power from every source.

Nuclear and Geothermal

As we have tracked since the May 2025 executive orders, the nuclear fuel supply chain is already moving under its own DPA Consortium and related authorities, with the explicit target of quadrupling US nuclear output by 2050. 

Geothermal development was also left out of today's batch. It too appears to be advancing on its own parallel track through existing federal programs and private sector momentum that do not require another layer of Section 303 intervention right now.

These efforts could benefit from the expanded DPA authorities granted to Energy Secretary Chris Wright on March 13, 2026. In an amendment to the National Defense Resources Preparedness executive order, President Trump delegated additional powers directly to the Energy Department, enabling Wright to invoke Section 303 authorities swiftly to restart critical domestic oil infrastructure and counter supply disruptions caused by the war. That same streamlined authority now positions Wright to accelerate implementation of yesterday's five determinations.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 14:20

CIA Security Officer Files Lawsuit Against Steve Baker And The Blaze For Identifying Her As J6 Bomber

Authored by 'sundance' via The Last Refuge,

Steve Baker and The Blaze are being sued by former Capitol Hill police officer Shauni Kerkoff, who Baker accused of being the J6 pipe bomber based on “gait” analysis and other dubious claims.

Mr Baker, a former FBI employee named Kyle Seraphin and Kentucky representative Thomas Massie also pushed the accusation, saying FBI Director Kash and other FBI officials were lying and an innocent guy was arrested.

The arrested suspect, Brian J. Cole, Jr., confessed to the crimes.

Yesterday, Shauni Kerkoff, who now works for the CIA security office, filed a lawsuit against Steve Baker and The Blaze, claiming Steve Baker was motivated by anger over his arrest for activity in the J6 event where Ms. Kerkoff was present providing security.

According to the lawsuit, Steve Baker and The Blaze created a conspiracy theory using Shauni Kerkoff as the target of their claims.

This is going to be an interesting lawsuit to watch unfold as there are various types of conspiracy claims similar to Mr Baker that are circulating. 

If their claim is false, both Mr Baker and The Blaze could end up in the same financial position as Alex Jones.

[SOURCE]

I suspect this is not going to end well for Steve Baker, The Blaze or Glenn Beck.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 14:00

"All Systems Go": Goldman Sees Improvement As Boeing Turnaround Gains Momo

Boeing shares jumped as much as 5% after the company posted a smaller-than-expected first-quarter cash burn and delivered the most aircraft since 2019 (outdelivered Airbus for the first time in years), reinforcing the view that the turnaround is beginning to lift off. The CEO's earlier comment was "all systems go," while Goldman's initial read on the quarter pointed to "improvements."

First-quarter earnings results show Boeing is gaining traction and is set to ramp up 737 production, a key step toward restoring its cash cow narrowbody jet production ...

... and reducing debt by $7 billion. 

The company reaffirmed its expectation of generating $1 billion to $3 billion in free cash flow in 2026, while adjusted losses were narrower than forecast.

Additionally, Boeing's defense and space units improved, with revenue up 21% and margins increasing.

"We're making strides to strengthen our culture and restore trust with our customers while growing our record backlog to nearly $700 billion," CEO Kelly Ortberg wrote in a message to employees. 

Ortberg joined CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" after the earnings report and said, "All systems are go." He noted that there has been no slowdown in aircraft orders since the US-Iran war began in late February.

Shares were up as much as 5% earlier in the session but were trading closer to 4% by around noon. Even with today's move, the stock is only modestly higher on the year, up about 5.2%. The bigger picture is that Boeing shares have remained stuck in a six-year trough following the two fatal 737 Max crashes, which capped production. 

A break above $250 would mark an important technical point that could unlock upside momentum. 

Goldman analyst Noah Poponak's first take on Boeing's quarter was broadly constructive: 

Boeing Co. (BA): 1Q26 First Take: Improvements

Bottom line: BA 1Q26 results include revenue and free cash above consensus, improving defense margins, evidence of ability to keep moving higher in commercial aircraft rate, and further advancement in aircraft certification timelines. 2026 free cash flow guidance is reiterated. We see no clear incremental negatives, and there are a few incremental positives.

Details: Revenue of $22.22bn is above FactSet at $21.85bn. BCA segment operating income of $(563)mn compared to our estimated $(699)mn. BDS margin of 3.1% compares to our 1.8% estimate. 1Q26 free cash flow is $(1,454)mn, ahead of our estimate of $(2,800)mn and consensus at $(2,340)mn. The company is advancing the 737-10 through FAA Type Inspection Authorization (TIA) flight testing, with certification for both the 737-7 and 737-10 targeted for 2026 and initial deliveries scheduled for 2027. The 777X program has progressed to TIA Phase 4a of certification flight testing for the 777-9 with first deliveries anticipated in 2027.

Our 12-month price target of $276. 

Separate institutional commentary (courtsey of Bloomberg):

JPMorgan, Seth M. Seifman (overweight; PT $270)

• Says cash flow came in better than expected, noting that advances were a key component

• "With solid numbers and less exposure to the Iran war than aftermarket names, we assume this will be well-received"

Jefferies, Sheila Kahyaoglu (buy; PT $295)

• "A solid, no drama print" with first quarter free cash flow significantly above expectations

• Notes that Boeing did not provide 2026 guidance in the release, but previously spoke to a free cash flow inflow of low single digits in 2026

TD Cowen, Gautam Khanna (buy; PT $250)

• Notes that core EPS loss was better than expected, with "BA deliveries and margin slightly agead of BA's late Q1 guidance update"

Deutsche Bank, Scott Deuschle (hold; PT $223)

• Says free cash flow beat was driven by higher operating cash flow, which benefited from a combination of higher net income, favorable advances and accounts payable that helped offset headwinds on inventory

• "This print is generally ahead of both sell-side expectations and our sense for buyside expectations"

Bloomberg Intelligence, George Ferguson

• Boeing's turnaround of commercial airplane was slowed by the necessary purchase of Spirit Aerosystems and will require $5-$6 million cost improvement per fuselage to counter"

All eyes are on the $250 technical break.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 13:40

Solid 20Y Auction Stops Through With Above Average Foreign Demand

The week's lone coupon auction priced at 1pm when the Treasury sold $13 BN in 20Y paper, in a solid if not stellar auction.

The auction stopped at a high yield of 4.883%, up from 4.817% in March and the highest since last July. It also stopped through the 4.892% When Issued by 0.9bps, the highest since January.

The bid to cover was 2.68, down from 2.76 in March but above the 2.63 six-auction average.

The internals were also solid with Indirects taking 67.4% of the auction, down modestly from 69.2% last month but also above the 62.9% recent average for foreign buyers. And with Directs taking 22.9%, up modestly from 21.6% last month, Dealers were left holding just 9.7%, down from the recent average of 11.2%.

Overall, this was another solid auction, which is a welcome outcome at a time when 10Y yields are trading near weekly highs just around 4.30%.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 13:31

Virginia Redistricting Rout Deals Major Blow To House Republicans

Democrats’ decisive win in Virginia Tuesday night has dealt a significant blow to Republican hopes of retaining control of the House.

By persuading voters to dismantle the state's independent redistricting commission - created just six years ago - Democrats wiped out four Republican-held congressional districts. This means Virginia's House delegation is now on track to shift to a 10-to-1 Democratic advantage, a dramatic reversal for a state that remained firmly in GOP hands not long ago.

That said, Democrats dropped $65 million on the races (though the final tally was uncomfortably close), while Punchbowl reports that Republicans are trading blame internally - second-guessing whether they let a chance slip away to blunt the Democratic surge.

And with midterms right around the corner, there are few indications that President Trump or House Republican leadership possesses either the strategic focus or message discipline needed to protect their narrow majority. Fresh off Trump's 2024 presidential win, Republicans, led by Speaker Mike Johnson, clung to control by the slimmest of margins. Pulling off a repeat performance now looks considerably tougher.

Betting markets are already pricing in a Democratic win in the House.

//--> //--> Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 85% · No 16%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

While party leaders insist a third Trump impeachment is off the table, the shift would almost certainly unleash a barrage of investigations and subpoenas aimed at the White House and Cabinet agencies - with major legal and political ripple effects. Lawmakers could also face even more protracted government shutdowns than the record-length appropriations lapses seen in the current Congress.

"I told Mike Johnson in July of last year that, 'If you go down this road, it's not going to work out for you,'" Jeffries told Punchbowl Tuesday night.

He added: "And at the end of the day, his best-case scenario was that he would net zero seats, but force at least 10 Republicans, who are incumbent members of his conference, into premature retirement. And that is exactly what has happened."

Jeffries earned significant credit for orchestrating Tuesday's outcome - as Virginia Democrats first had to steer the ballot measure through the state legislature twice, beat back multiple court challenges, and then win over voters. A nonprofit aligned with Jeffries poured $38 million into the effort to secure passage, and he personally managed the operation from beginning to end - designing the referendum strategy, recruiting staff and directing on-the-ground coordination. Many Virginia Democrats initially resisted the high-stakes gamble, requiring Jeffries to personally persuade both the state delegation and the warring legislative chambers to fall in line.

True to form, Jeffries remained measured when asked whether Tuesday's result clinched the majority or signaled an impending blue wave. He did, however, declare victory in the broader redistricting battle.

"When you line up the congressional map in Texas and compare it with the response in California, they're going to lose seats and would be fortunate if in Texas, they win two or three of the five seats that they claimed they were going to steal from Democrats," Jeffries said.

The biggest wild cards left for both sides are Florida and the future of the Voting Rights Act, which is up to the Supreme Court. Tuesday's result intensifies pressure on Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to advance an ambitious congressional map next week capable of delivering Republicans a net gain of three to five seats. Yet DeSantis is encountering pushback from the state's Republican congressional delegation and the GOP-controlled legislature, many of whom doubt such an aggressive redraw is feasible. Several Florida Republicans caution that Latino voters are not reliably in the GOP column and may not show up for the party the way they did in 2024, urging caution.

Spending in Virginia was wildly lopsided. Democrats poured $56.4 million into television and digital ads; Republicans mustered just $24.6 million. Republicans still lost by fewer than 90,000 votes out of more than 3 million cast.

According to the report, GOP strategists insist they deliberately avoided nationalizing the contest to keep from energizing the Democratic base. They argue that heavier spending would simply have provoked an even larger Democratic response. They also note that the "No" side outperformed Trump's 2024 numbers in the state. Former Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares and onetime House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, who helmed the opposition effort, pledged to keep fighting the new map in court.

House Republicans, however, were already firing off frantic messages Tuesday night. Several told reporters they had been assured that additional money would make no difference in Virginia - yet the narrow margin suggests otherwise. 

The American Action Network, a nonprofit close to Johnson, quietly funneled money to the group bankrolling the "No" campaign, according to a person familiar with the transaction. Meanwhile, only one solidly Republican seat remains, in the state's southwest corner. GOP Reps. Ben Cline and Morgan Griffith may find themselves forced into a member-versus-member primary.

Tyler Durden Wed, 04/22/2026 - 13:00

Peter Schiff: Printing Money Is Not the Cure for Cononavirus



In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff talked about coronavirus and the impact that it is having on the markets. Earlier this month, Peter said he thought the virus was just an excuse for stock market woes. At the time he believed the market was poised to fall anyway. But as it turns out, coronavirus has actually helped the US stock market because it has led central banks to pump even more liquidity into the world financial system. All this means more liquidity — central banks easing. In fact, that is exactly what has already happened, except the new easing is taking place, for now, outside the United States, particularly in China.” Although the new money is primarily being created in China, it is flowing into dollars — the dollar index is up — and into US stocks. Last week, US stock markets once again made all-time record highs. In fact, I think but for the coronavirus, the US stock market would still be selling off. But because of the central bank stimulus that has been the result of fears over the coronavirus, that actually benefitted not only the US dollar, but the US stock market.” In the midst of all this, Peter raises a really good question. The primary economic concern is that coronavirus will slow down output and ultimately stunt economic growth. Practically speaking, the world would produce less stuff. If the virus continues to spread, there would be fewer goods and services produced in a market that is hunkered down. Why would the Federal Reserve respond, or why would any central bank respond to that by printing money? How does printing more money solve that problem? It doesn’t. In fact, it actually exacerbates it. But you know, everybody looks at central bankers as if they’ve got the solution to every problem. They don’t. They don’t have the magic wand. They just have a printing press. And all that creates is inflation.” Sometimes the illusion inflation creates can look like a magic wand. Printing money can paper over problems. But none of this is going to fundamentally fix the economy. In fact, if central bankers were really going to do the right thing, the appropriate response would be to drain liquidity from the markets, not supply even more.” Peter explained how the Fed was originally intended to create an “elastic” money supply that would expand or contract along with economic output. Today, the money supply only goes in one direction — that’s up. The economy is strong, print money. The economy is weak, print even more money.” Of course, the asset that’s doing the best right now is gold. The yellow metal pushed above $1,600 yesterday. Gold is up 5.5% on the year in dollar terms and has set record highs in other currencies. Because gold is rising even in an environment where the dollar is strengthening against other fiat currencies, that shows you that there is an underlying weakness in the dollar that is right now not being reflected in the Forex markets, but is being reflected in the gold markets. Because after all, why are people buying gold more aggressively than they’re buying dollars or more aggressively than they’re buying US Treasuries? Because they know that things are not as good for the dollar or the US economy as everybody likes to believe. So, more people are seeking out refuge in a better safe-haven and that is gold.” Peter also talked about the debate between Trump and Obama over who gets credit for the booming economy – which of course, is not booming.

We are living in crazy times. I have a hard time believing that most of the general public is not awake, but in reality, they are. We've never seen anything like this; I mean not even under Obama during the worst part of the Great Recession." Now the Fed is desperately trying to keep interest rates from rising. The problem is that it's a much bigger debt bubble this time around , and the Fed is going to have to blow a lot more air into it to keep it inflated. The difference is this time it's not going to work." It looks like the Fed did another $104.15 billion of Not Q.E. in a single day. The Fed claims it's only temporary. But that is precisely what Bernanke claimed when the Fed started QE1. Milton Freedman once said, "Nothing is so permanent as a temporary government program." The same applies to Q.E., or whatever the Fed wants to pretend it's doing. Except this is not QE4, according to Powell. Right. Pumping so much money out, and they are accusing China of currency manipulation ? Wow! Seriously! Amazing! Dump the U.S. dollar while you still have a chance. Welcome to The Atlantis Report. And it is even worse than that, In addition to the $104.15 billion of "Not Q.E." this past Thursday; the FED added another $56.65 billion in liquidity to financial markets the next day on Friday. That's $160.8 billion in two days!!!! in just 48 hours. That is more than 2 TIMES the highest amount the FED has ever injected on a monthly basis under a Q.E. program (which was $80 billion per month) Since this isn't QE....it will be really scary on what they are going to call Q.E. Will it twice, three times, four times, five times what this injection per month ! It is going to be explosive since it takes about 60 to 90 days for prices to react to this, January should see significant inflation as prices soak up the excess liquidity. The question is, where will the inflation occur first . The spike in the repo rate might have a technical explanation: a misjudgment was made in the Fed's money market operations. Even so, two conclusions can be drawn: managing the money markets is becoming harder, and from now on, banks will be studying each other's creditworthiness to a greater degree than before. Those people, who struggle with the minutiae of money markets, and that includes most professionals, should focus on the causes and not the symptoms. Financial markets have recovered from each downturn since 1980 because interest rates have been cut to new lows. Post-2008, they were cut to near zero or below zero in all major economies. In response to a new financial crisis, they cannot go any lower. Central banks will look for new ways to replicate or broaden Q.E. (At some point, governments will simply see repression as an easier option). Then there is the problem of 'risk-free' assets becoming risky assets. Financial markets assume that the probability of major governments such as the U.S. or U.K. defaulting is zero. These governments are entering the next downturn with debt roughly twice the levels proportionate to GDP that was seen in 2008. The belief that the policy worked was completely predicated on the fact that it was temporary and that it was reversible, that the Fed was going to be able to normalize interest rates and shrink its balance sheet back down to pre-crisis levels. Well, when the balance sheet is five-trillion, six-trillion, seven-trillion when we're back at zero, when we're back in a recession, nobody is going to believe it is temporary. Nobody is going to believe that the Fed has this under control, that they can reverse this policy. And the dollar is going to crash. And when the dollar crashes, it's going to take the bond market with it, and we're going to have stagflation. We're going to have a deep recession with rising interest rates, and this whole thing is going to come imploding down. everything is temporary with the fed including remaining off the gold standard temporary in the Fed's eyes could mean at least 50 years This liquidity problem is a signal that trading desks are loaded up on inventory and can't get rid of it. Repo is done out of a need for cash. If you own all of your securities (i.e., a long-only, no leverage mutual fund) you have no need to "repo" your securities - you're earning interest every night so why would you want to 'repo' your securities where you are paying interest for that overnight loan (securities lending is another animal). So, it is those that 'lever-up' and need the cash for settlement purposes on securities they've bought with borrowed money that needs to utilize the repo desk. With this in mind, as we continue to see this need to obtain cash (again, needed to settle other securities purchases), it shows these firms don't have the capital to add more inventory to, what appears to be, a bloated inventory. Now comes the fun part: the Treasury is about to auction 3's, 10's, and 30-year bonds. If I am correct (again, I could be wrong), the Fed realizes securities firms don't have the shelf space to take down a good portion of these auctions. If there isn't enough retail/institutional demand, it will lead to not only a crappy sale but major concerns to the street that there is now no backstop, at all, to any sell-off. At which point, everyone will want to be the first one through the door and sell immediately, but to whom? If there isn't enough liquidity in the repo market to finance their positions, the firms would be unable to increase their inventory. We all saw repo shut down on the 2008 crisis. Wall St runs on money. . OVERNIGHT money. They lever up to inventory securities for trading. If they can't get overnight money, they can't purchase securities. And if they can't unload what they have, it means the buy-side isn't taking on more either. Accounts settle overnight. This includes things like payrolls and bill pay settlements. If a bank doesn't have enough cash to payout what its customers need to pay out, it borrows. At least one and probably more than one banks are insolvent. That's what's going on. First, it can't be one or two banks that are short. They'd simply call around until they found someone to lend. But they did that, and even at markedly elevated rates, still, NO ONE would lend them the money. That tells me that it's not a problem of a couple of borrowers, it's a problem of no lenders. And that means that there's no bank in the world left with any real liquidity. They are ALL maxed out. But as bad as that is, and that alone could be catastrophic, what it really signals is even worse. The lending rates are just the flip side of the coin of the value of the assets lent against. If the rates go up, the value goes down. And with rates spiking to 10%, how far does the value fall? Enormously! And if banks had to actually mark down the value of the assets to reflect 10% interest rates, then my god, every bank in the world is insolvent overnight. Everyone's capital ratios are in the toilet, and they'd have to liquidate. We're talking about the simultaneous insolvency of every bank on the planet. Bank runs. No money in ATMs, Branches closed. Safe deposit boxes confiscated. The whole nine yards, It's actually here. The scenario has tended to guide toward for years and years is actually happening RIGHT NOW! And people are still trying to say it's under control. Every bank in the world is currently insolvent. The only thing keeping it going is printing billions of dollars every day. Financial Armageddon isn't some far off future risk. It's here. Prepare accordingly. This fiat system has reached the end of the line, and it's not correct that fiat currencies fail by design. The problem is corruption and manipulation. It is corruption and cheating that erodes trust and faith until the entire system becomes a gigantic fraud. Banks and governments everywhere ARE the problem and simply have to be removed. They have lost all trust and respect, and all they have left is war and mayhem. As long as we continue to have a majority of braindead asleep imbeciles following orders from these psychopaths, nothing will change. Fiat currency is not just thievery. Fiat currency is SLAVERY. Ultimately the most harmful effect of using debt of undefined value as money (i.e., fiat currencies) is the de facto legalization of a caste system based on voluntary slavery. The bankers have a charter, or the legal *right*, to create money out of nothing. You, you don't. Therefore you and the bankers do not have the same standing before the law. The law of the land says that you will go to jail if you do the same thing (creating money out of thin air) that the banker does in full legality. You and the banker are not equal before the law. ALL the countries of the world; Islamic or secular, Jewish or Arab, democracy or dictatorship; all of them place the bankers ABOVE you. And all of you accept that only whining about fiat money going down in exchange value over time (price inflation which is not the same as monetary inflation). Actually, price inflation itself is mainly due to the greed and stupidity of the bankers who could keep fiat money's exchange value reasonably stable, only if they wanted to. Witness the crash of silver and gold prices which the bankers of the world; Russian, American, Chinese, Jewish, Indian, Arab, all of them collaborated to engineer through the suppression and stagnation of precious metals' prices to levels around the metals' production costs, or what it costs to dig gold and silver out of the ground. The bankers of the world could also collaborate to keep nominal prices steady (as they do in the case of the suppression of precious metals prices). After all, the ability to create fiat money and force its usage is a far more excellent source of power and wealth than that which is afforded simply by stealing it through inflation. The bankers' greed and stupidity blind them to this fact. They want it all, and they want it now. In conclusion, The bankers can create money out of nothing and buy your goods and services with this worthless fiat money, effectively for free. You, you can't. You, you have to lead miserable existences for the most of you and WORK in order to obtain that effectively nonexistent, worthless credit money (whose purchasing/exchange value is not even DEFINED thus rendering all contracts based on the null and void!) that the banker effortlessly creates out of thin air with a few strokes of the computer keyboard, and which he doesn't even bother to print on paper anymore, electing to keep it in its pure quantum uncertain form instead, as electrons whizzing about inside computer chips which will become mute and turn silent refusing to tell you how many fiat dollars or euros there are in which account, in the absence of electricity. No electricity, no fiat, nor crypto money. It would appear that trust is deteriorating as it did when Lehman blew up . Something really big happened that set off this chain reaction in the repo markets. Whatever that something is, we aren't be informed. They're trying to cover it up, paper it over with conjured cash injections, play it cool in front of the cameras while sweating profusely under the 5 thousands dollar suits. I'm guessing that the final high-speed plunge into global economic collapse has begun. All we see here is the ripples and whitewater churning the surface, but beneath the surface, there is an enormous beast thrashing desperately in its death throws. Now is probably the time to start tying up loose ends with the long-running prep projects, just saying. In other words, prepare accordingly, and Get your money out of the banks. I don't care if you don't believe me about Bitcoin. Get your money out of the banks. Don't keep any more money in a bank than you need to pay your bills and can afford to lose.











The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers , Whistelblowers , truthers and many more













The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers , Whistelblowers , truthers and many more

The FBI released a summary of its file from the Hillary Clinton email investigation on Friday, showing details of Clinton's explanation of her use of a private email server to handle classified communications. The release comes nearly two months after FBI Director James Comey announced that although Clinton's handling of classified information was "extremely careless," it did not rise to the level of a prosecutable offense. Attorney General Loretta Lynch announced the next day that she would not pursue charges in the matter. "We are making these materials available to the public in the interest of transparency and in response to numerous Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests," the FBI noted in a statement sent to reporters with links to the documents. The documents include notes from Clinton's July 2 interview with agents, as well as a "factual summary of the FBI's investigation into this matter," according to the FBI release. Throughout her interview with agents, Clinton repeatedly said she relied on the career professionals she worked with to handle classified information correctly. The agents asked about a series of specific emails, and in each case Clinton said she wasn't worried about the particular material being discussed on a nonclassified channel.