Individual Economists

10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture -

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures:

Why Kalshi Won’t Pay Winners:  Kalshi has refused to pay $54 million to traders who won their bets on when Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would leave office. Gamblers will put up with a game, if it’s the only game in town, even when they know the game is rigged so that insiders will win. What they won’t put up with is no one winning. So, why is Kalshi risking its reputation? Why won’t Kalshi pay winners? A legal quagmire facing prediction markets when it comes to actually paying out. The regulatory cracks are already showing. (Gambling and the Law)

It turns out that legalising gambling is bad: The gambling industry is huge, even if you exclude the stock market and newfangled “prediction” sites. But how healthy is it for society? Fortunately, a perfect natural experiment in the US offers an easy way to find out — so easy that Alphaville is a little surprised we haven’t seen research like this before. (Financial Times) see also We Haven’t Seen the Worst of What Gambling and Prediction Markets Will Do: Derek Thompson connects the dots between sports betting, prediction markets, and the gamblification of everything. The house always wins, and the house is getting bigger. (Derek Thompson)

• What’s Going on With the IRS? The Trump administration’s budget cuts are looming over Tax Day. DOGE cuts plus an already understaffed agency equals a looming disaster for taxpayers. (The Atlantic)

The broligarchy’s war on journalism: The capture of US media by Trump allies is accelerating and the UK is the next in line. Plus: the mystery money behind my old newspaper. (Broligarchy)

Inside the Turmoil at Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s C.D.C. Forty-three current and former C.D.C. employees on the changes they say are replacing science with ideology — and making Americans more vulnerable. (New York Times Magazine)

A Dunning-Kruger War, Courtesy of the Dunning-Kruger President: Ignorance plus overconfidence gets you the Iran War. (The Cross Section) see also Crazy, Stupid, False, Impotent, and Blind: The Cognitive Biases of the Iran Coverage (emptywheel)

• It’s the ‘Worsties’ – Listing the 25 Worst People in News Media: A delightfully savage ranking of the most harmful figures in media. Agree or disagree, you’ll enjoy the carnage. Being awful pays off in today’s attention economy, but it also deserves ridicule (Stop The Presses)

• MAGA’s Mueller Myths: The Bulwark dismantles the revisionist history around the Mueller investigation. The myths are politically useful, but they don’t survive contact with the actual record. The 7 lies that Trumpists still cling to. (The Bulwark)

• Trump showed classified map to passengers on his plane in 2022, memo says: The document offers a snapshot of an early moment in special counsel Jack Smith’s investigation and adds new shading to the public understanding of Smith’s probes. Another day, another revelation about classified documents being treated like in-flight entertainment. The casual disregard for national security is staggering. (Washington Post)

Is Doomscrolling Giving You Wrinkles? You May Have ‘Tech Neck.’ Growing anxiety about the affliction has sparked a race for a cure; ‘I am too young for this.’ (Wall Street Journal)

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business next week with Judd Kessler, the Howard Marks Endowed Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. The winner of the Vernon L. Smith Ascending Scholar Prize,he is the author of is Lucky by Design The Hidden Economics You Need to Get More of What You Want.

 

Why Americans think other Americans are bad people

Source: The Argument

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The post 10 Sunday Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.

Secret Service Agent Assigned To Jill Biden Shoots Himself In The Leg At Philadelphia Airport

Zero Hedge -

Secret Service Agent Assigned To Jill Biden Shoots Himself In The Leg At Philadelphia Airport

Perhaps incompetence is contagious...

A Secret Service agent tasked with protecting Jill Biden managed to become his own biggest threat, accidentally shooting himself in the leg at Philadelphia International Airport last week, according to Reuters.

Thankfully, Biden wasn’t anywhere nearby, presumably because the universe decided one crisis at a time was enough.

Photos: Daily Mail

The report says that the incident, politely labeled a “negligent discharge” (bureaucratic code for oh sh*t), happened in an unmarked car just before 9 a.m. Other officers rushed in to help, and the agent was taken to the hospital in stable condition—injured pride not listed but heavily implied.

"The Secret Service's Office of Professional Responsibility will be reviewing the facts and circumstances of this incident," Secret Service spokesman Nate Herring said, according to the Daily Mail. He continued: "We are grateful for our law enforcement and public safety partners who provided medical assistance."

Police surrounded a black Chevy Suburban outside Terminal C at Philadelphia International Airport amid ongoing security disruptions with some checkpoints closed and passengers rerouted through other terminals.

Good news: airport operations continued smoothly. And by that we mean likely with 12 hour waits at security due to lack of TSA agents.

Because nothing says “government has it all under control” in an airport nowadays like an armed professional shooting himself and everyone else just carrying on with their flights.

* * * COULD HAVE BEEN WORSE

Speaking of meat that's been shot, order the Grass-Fed Steak Lover's Bundle!

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 18:05

Secret Service Agent Assigned To Jill Biden Shoots Himself In The Leg At Philadelphia Airport

Zero Hedge -

Secret Service Agent Assigned To Jill Biden Shoots Himself In The Leg At Philadelphia Airport

Perhaps incompetence is contagious...

A Secret Service agent tasked with protecting Jill Biden managed to become his own biggest threat, accidentally shooting himself in the leg at Philadelphia International Airport last week, according to Reuters.

Thankfully, Biden wasn’t anywhere nearby, presumably because the universe decided one crisis at a time was enough.

Photos: Daily Mail

The report says that the incident, politely labeled a “negligent discharge” (bureaucratic code for oh sh*t), happened in an unmarked car just before 9 a.m. Other officers rushed in to help, and the agent was taken to the hospital in stable condition—injured pride not listed but heavily implied.

"The Secret Service's Office of Professional Responsibility will be reviewing the facts and circumstances of this incident," Secret Service spokesman Nate Herring said, according to the Daily Mail. He continued: "We are grateful for our law enforcement and public safety partners who provided medical assistance."

Police surrounded a black Chevy Suburban outside Terminal C at Philadelphia International Airport amid ongoing security disruptions with some checkpoints closed and passengers rerouted through other terminals.

Good news: airport operations continued smoothly. And by that we mean likely with 12 hour waits at security due to lack of TSA agents.

Because nothing says “government has it all under control” in an airport nowadays like an armed professional shooting himself and everyone else just carrying on with their flights.

* * * COULD HAVE BEEN WORSE

Speaking of meat that's been shot, order the Grass-Fed Steak Lover's Bundle!

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 18:05

Middle-Schoolers' "Let's Go Brandon" Sweatshirt Case Goes To Supreme Court

Zero Hedge -

Middle-Schoolers' "Let's Go Brandon" Sweatshirt Case Goes To Supreme Court

Authored by Dave Huber via The College Fix,

Lower courts have ruled school can ban wearing such apparel as ‘can reasonably be interpreted as profane’

The case of two Michigan middle-school brothers who were told to remove their hoodies emblazoned with the phrase “Let’s Go Brandon” is headed to the U.S. Supreme Court.

The siblings are represented by the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression which says the boys’ school violated their First Amendment rights.

The phrase was popularized during a 2021 NASCAR event when a crowd was shouting “F*** Joe Biden!” but the NBC interviewer told racer Brandon Brown they were yelling “Let’s go Brandon!”

A judge in 2024 ruled the phrase could “reasonably be interpreted” as profane.

Last October, the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld that ruling in a 2-1 decision, confirming the case was about “the vulgarity exception.”

Referencing the landmark Tinker free speech case, Judge John Nalbandian (a Trump appointee) wrote “The Constitution doesn’t hamstring school administrators when they are trying to limit profanity and vulgarity in the classroom during school hours [… they’re not] powerless to prevent student speech that the administrators reasonably understand to be profane or vulgar.”

(Ironically, the brothers’ principal, Joseph Williams, had said he “was not aware that the school had experienced any disruption from students wearing ‘Let’s Go Brandon’” sweatshirts.)

FIRE’s petition to the SCOTUS notes the previous rulings allow individual teachers and administrators to “create and enforce their own test for ‘vulgarity’ [–] a political shirt could have First Amendment protection in second-period algebra but not third-period biology.”

“Let’s Go Brandon” is no different than using words “heck” or “shoot” in place of their obvious profane counterparts.

FIRE Supervising Senior Attorney Conor Fitzpatrick said “The school district’s censorship assumes that students cannot handle seeing even sanitized expressions. But America’s next generation is not so fragile, and the First Amendment is not so brittle.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 17:30

Middle-Schoolers' "Let's Go Brandon" Sweatshirt Case Goes To Supreme Court

Zero Hedge -

Middle-Schoolers' "Let's Go Brandon" Sweatshirt Case Goes To Supreme Court

Authored by Dave Huber via The College Fix,

Lower courts have ruled school can ban wearing such apparel as ‘can reasonably be interpreted as profane’

The case of two Michigan middle-school brothers who were told to remove their hoodies emblazoned with the phrase “Let’s Go Brandon” is headed to the U.S. Supreme Court.

The siblings are represented by the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression which says the boys’ school violated their First Amendment rights.

The phrase was popularized during a 2021 NASCAR event when a crowd was shouting “F*** Joe Biden!” but the NBC interviewer told racer Brandon Brown they were yelling “Let’s go Brandon!”

A judge in 2024 ruled the phrase could “reasonably be interpreted” as profane.

Last October, the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld that ruling in a 2-1 decision, confirming the case was about “the vulgarity exception.”

Referencing the landmark Tinker free speech case, Judge John Nalbandian (a Trump appointee) wrote “The Constitution doesn’t hamstring school administrators when they are trying to limit profanity and vulgarity in the classroom during school hours [… they’re not] powerless to prevent student speech that the administrators reasonably understand to be profane or vulgar.”

(Ironically, the brothers’ principal, Joseph Williams, had said he “was not aware that the school had experienced any disruption from students wearing ‘Let’s Go Brandon’” sweatshirts.)

FIRE’s petition to the SCOTUS notes the previous rulings allow individual teachers and administrators to “create and enforce their own test for ‘vulgarity’ [–] a political shirt could have First Amendment protection in second-period algebra but not third-period biology.”

“Let’s Go Brandon” is no different than using words “heck” or “shoot” in place of their obvious profane counterparts.

FIRE Supervising Senior Attorney Conor Fitzpatrick said “The school district’s censorship assumes that students cannot handle seeing even sanitized expressions. But America’s next generation is not so fragile, and the First Amendment is not so brittle.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 17:30

MiB: Judd Kessler, Lucky by Design

The Big Picture -



 

 

This week, I speak with Judd Kessler, author of “Lucky by Design: The Hidden Economics You Need to Get More of What You Want,” and a professor at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

We discuss his research into the hidden markets that allocate value to desirable things such as restaurant reservations. We also delve into Judd’s research into how couples allocate their resources within a relationship and possible alternate ways to distribute concert tickets.

A list of his current reading/favorite books is here; A transcript of our conversation is available here Tuesday.

You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube (audio), YouTube (video), and Bloomberg.All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here.

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business next week with Songyee Yoon, founder and managing partner of Principal Venture Partners, an AI-focused investment firm established in 2024, and since 2025 a member of the board of directors of HP Inc.

 

 

 

Authored Book

 

Current Reading/Favorite Books

 

 

 

The post MiB: Judd Kessler, Lucky by Design appeared first on The Big Picture.

Debbie Dupes Dallas: Porn Legends Clone Themselves With AI To Keep Raking It In Long After Retiring

Zero Hedge -

Debbie Dupes Dallas: Porn Legends Clone Themselves With AI To Keep Raking It In Long After Retiring

Worn-out porn stars have found a fresh way to keep raking in the cash long after they've aged out of the business, according to a new report from WIRED.

Joi.com

OhChat, a British startup that lets adult creators clone themselves with AI, has inked deals with Lisa Ann and Cherie DeVille to license their likenesses on the platform, basically creating a digital version of them in every possible way that can churn out custom sex scenes for paying customers.

Despite leaving the business in 2019, Lisa Ann now charges $30 per month to give fans the ability to cook up X-rated scenarios of her using the bot.

This keeps my name alive,” said of her AI clone in an interview with WIRED. “She’s never going to age.”

“For guys that like to say good morning or good night, they now have that access. The fact that I'm not shooting scenes anymore also allows new scenes to be created,” she added.

Adult performer Alix Lynx licensed her image to Joi.com

WIRED reports:

Other competitors in the space include My.Club, Joi AI and SinfulX AI, the platform that adult film actress Georgia Koneva partnered with this month, saying, in a press statement, that her avatar gave her a “new way to share my voice and personality with the people who follow me.” According to SinfulX AI, it also develops “original” synthetic characters using licensed source imagery from adult performers whose content it has the rights to use. In the same statement, the company said that those AI-generated “characters” are “designed not to replicate any single individual while still maintaining the realism for which its content is known.”

However, Ann concedes that human porn is still preferred by a majority of people.“Guys are always going to want real content. Men are always going to want to see new scenes. There will always be a need for all of it. But the fact that I’ve never been awake from 11 pm to 7 am, and now there’s a 24-hour clone that can chat for me—that alone is something. It allows me to keep my brand alive,” she said.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 16:55

O'Reilly Exposes San Francisco As A Violent Third-World Drug Dystopia Infested By Illegals

Zero Hedge -

O'Reilly Exposes San Francisco As A Violent Third-World Drug Dystopia Infested By Illegals

Authored by Steve Watson via modernity.news,

Veteran commentator Bill O’Reilly just returned from filming a special in San Francisco — and the reality on the ground is far worse than most Americans understand.

O’Reilly painted a stark picture of a city ruined by open borders, sanctuary laws, and Democrat leadership that refuses to enforce basic order.

In raw footage shot inside the Tenderloin neighborhood - now a notorious open-air drug market - O’Reilly showed how the system itself perpetuates the collapse. 

“What the currency here is, is heroin, cocaine, methamphetamine, all of it tinged now with fentanyl, which will kill you like that,” he reported, adding “Now these addicted people, these street people, they don’t care whether they live or die. Their whole lives center around intoxication.”

At the same time the city gives them needles, crack pipes, it’s just insane. So the problem never gets solved. It’s circular,” O’Reilly emphasised.

“Now, why do they come here? Why not go to Des Moines or some place like that? Because the City of San Francisco and the State of California gives them MONEY, as we discussed earlier. Cash! For nothing! And they use the cash to get intoxicated, to buy drugs. So why wouldn’t you come here, to San Francisco?” O’Reilly further urged.

Here’s a longer segment:

O’Reilly then laid out the bigger picture in an interview segment, naming the illegal gangs driving the violence and the officials who have done nothing to stop it. 

“You know who sells narcotics down there in San Francisco and in Oakland?” O’Reilly said. “Honduran drug gangs who are here illegally.”

You know who protects them? The sanctuary laws of San Francisco and California.”

“They strut around armed to the teeth, knowing that no one on the federal level can bother them, because the state and the city won’t cooperate as almost every state does with joint task force. California won’t do it,” he stressed.

“So Honduran drug gangs in this country illegally are fueling a MASSIVE fentanyl crisis that has destroyed the city of San Francisco. And the mayor knows it. And the governor knows it. And Pelosi knows it. And Kamala Harris knows it, and they NEVER did anything about it,” O’Reilly added.

O’Reilly described scenes that belong in a failed state: children walking to school forced to watch drug addicts inject needles into their necks. He detailed machete violence tied directly to the same illegal gangs.

“Now, Hondurans here illegally cut off people’s hands with machetes if they don’t pay their drug debts,” he continued. “This isn’t about narcotics. This is about massive violence.”

“It was once the most beautiful city in the country. I used to love to go there. Meanwhile, two miles away, Nancy Pelosi is living in an $8 million house guarded by security. So she doesn’t have to experience any of it,” O’Reilly detailed.

This collapse did not happen overnight. It is the direct outcome of the same policies that have been ongoing for years.

San Francisco’s office district has not only become a ghost town but is literally covered in human waste. 

Cash App founder Bob Lee was stabbed to death in what was supposed to be a “good part” of the city.

More recently, a grim statistic has confirmed San Francisco as one of America’s worst cities. One in eight home sellers lost money, with an average loss of $100,000.

The videos of needles, tents, open drug use, and total breakdown of public order have been there for anyone willing to see them.

Yet the same officials O’Reilly names kept pushing the same failed approach: sanctuary protections shielding illegal gangs, cash payments to addicts, free needles and pipes, and zero cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.

The result is a once-iconic American city turned into a fentanyl-soaked zone where schoolchildren dodge junkies and violent illegal gangs operate openly while the political class retreats behind private security.

O’Reilly’s reporting confirms what millions already know from citizen videos and on-the-ground accounts: unchecked illegal immigration, sanctuary cities, and the progressive “harm reduction” model are not acts of compassion. They are policies that destroy urban America.

The elites who engineered this disaster never have to live with the consequences. Pelosi does not walk the Tenderloin. Harris did not fix the problem during her time in California. Newsom still refuses to confront it.

Only a sharp return to secure borders, actual enforcement of immigration law, and rejection of the open-air drug market model can reverse decades of damage. San Francisco stands as living proof of what happens when those basic principles are abandoned. Anything less simply keeps feeding the same deadly cycle.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 16:20

Alarming West Texas Oil Theft Emerges As National Security Threat

Zero Hedge -

Alarming West Texas Oil Theft Emerges As National Security Threat

Criminals are exploiting weak points across the West Texas oil production region, which accounts for 15% of the world's energy resources. This emerging wave of oil theft is burning a multi-billion-dollar hole in the budgets of oil and gas operators across the Permian Basin and is becoming a national security threat.

Bloomberg reports that oil and gas producers are losing at least $1 billion, if not more, per year due to oilfield theft in what the outlet describes as something straight out of a "Mad Max" movie.

At the center of the Permian Basin is Martin County, one of the most important oil-producing counties in the country.

The outlet spoke with Sheriff Randy Cozart, who estimates that about 500 barrels of crude are stolen each week. Industry groups say statewide losses are accumulating and range from $1 billion to $2 billion annually.

"Where there's money, there's crime," Cozart explained. "And there's lots of money in oil right now," he said, especially with WTI prices near triple-digit territory due in part to the energy shock in the Middle East.

One of the major problems in the Permian Basin is the recent increase in criminal activity, which some say is due to the Biden-Harris administration's nation-killing open-border policies.

Ed Longanecker, president of the Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association, told the outlet that oil companies in the region could incur losses of up to $2 billion. He said that figure does not cover thefts across the New Mexico portion of the Permian.

"The old joke in the oil field used to be that if it wasn't bolted down, it would get stolen," Michael Lozano, who runs government affairs and communications for the Permian Basin Petroleum Association, said, adding, "Now they're unscrewing the bolts, and they're stealing those too."

A recent Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas survey of oil executives showed that at least 60% said their operations were affected by oil thefts. 

Bloomberg described one method thieves use to steal oil:

Today's Permian Basin thieves might instead connect vacuum trucks to storage tanks in broad daylight and siphon it out, sometimes covering their license plates or swapping vehicles to evade law enforcement, authorities say.

Now, regulators and the FBI have taken notice because these oil thefts are becoming a growing economic security and critical infrastructure threat.

Local officials in Texas and New Mexico are closely watching the oil theft crisis. Texas has responded by creating a task force under the Railroad Commission, lawmakers are studying total economic losses, and the FBI has become more involved.

The question now is whether the energy shock emerging from the Middle East and the resulting national security threats will pressure states and the federal government to fortify critical energy infrastructure from the Gulf of America to the Permian Basin and elsewhere, as the risk of drone threats and sabotage continues to rise.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 15:45

Fannie Mae Set To Accept Crypto As Collateral For Home Loans For First Time

Zero Hedge -

Fannie Mae Set To Accept Crypto As Collateral For Home Loans For First Time

Fannie Mae, the giant government-backed mortgage securitizer, is preparing to accept cryptocurrency as collateral for home loans for the first time, marking a further step in the integration of digital assets into traditional U.S. housing finance, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Mortgage lender Better Home & Finance Holding Co. and crypto exchange Coinbase are teaming up to allow home buyers to pledge Bitcoin or the USDC stablecoin to secure a down payment on a Fannie Mae-conforming mortgage.

While crypto-backed mortgages have existed in limited forms, Fannie Mae’s involvement—through loans it will purchase and guarantee—could bring such arrangements into the mainstream of the $12 trillion U.S. mortgage market.

The Journal has more details:

The new mortgage product works like this: A home buyer gets a traditional 15- or 30-year Fannie-backed mortgage from Better. Instead of making a cash down payment, the buyer gets a separate loan, backed by either bitcoin or USDC, a popular stablecoin.

Paying interest on a second loan instead of making a cash down payment can increase the overall cost of homeownership significantly. The interest rate on both loans would range from comparable to typical Fannie Mae mortgages to 1.5 percentage points higher.

“A lot of those crypto owners and investors have not been able to become homeowners,” because they don’t want to sell their crypto investments, said Max Branzburg, Coinbase’s head of consumer and business products. “We haven’t really had the best way to service that need.”

The development comes as the Trump administration moves to enact regulation aimed at establishing the United States as the number one destination for building crypto companies.

Speaking in January at the World Economic Forum, President Trump said he helped secure America’s place as the “crypto capital of the world” by backing legislation aimed at boosting the digital asset industry.

Trump touted his signing of a “landmark GENIUS Act” last year, focused on stablecoins, partly to gain political support and partly to keep China from leading the space.

"China wanted that market too," the president told attendees. "We have to make it so that China doesn't get the hold of it. It's just like they want the AI, and we've got that market, I think, pretty well locked up."

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Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 14:00

How To Convert Your 401(k) Into A Reliable Monthly Paycheck

Zero Hedge -

How To Convert Your 401(k) Into A Reliable Monthly Paycheck

Authored by Adam H. Douglas via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Yes, you can turn your 401(k) into a predictable monthly paycheck in retirement. The key is to move from the accumulation phase to a structured distribution strategy. Many retirees combine systematic withdrawals, dividend-producing investments, and guaranteed income sources such as annuities.

Smart planning can turn your 401(k) balance into a predictable cash flow. Ladanifer/Shutterstock

By balancing these tools and managing withdrawal rates carefully, you can convert a fluctuating retirement account balance into a steady income stream that helps cover monthly living expenses throughout retirement.

Why the Distribution Phase Matters

During your working years, your focus is simple: build the largest retirement account balance possible. Contributions, employer matches, and market growth drive the accumulation phase.

Once you stop working, your 401(k) must shift from a growth vehicle into an income engine. Instead of asking, “How big is my account balance?” the better question becomes, “How much income can this generate each month?”

Without a clear strategy, withdrawals can become inconsistent and risky. Market downturns early in retirement may reduce your portfolio faster than expected.

To help you before you retire, here’s a structured income framework.

Creating a Retirement Paycheck From a 401(k) Step 1: Estimate Your Monthly Retirement Income Needs

Before converting your 401(k) into income, start with a clear picture of your retirement spending.

Most retirees separate expenses into two categories:

Essential expenses

  • housing costs
  • utilities
  • food and transportation
  • health insurance and medical care

Discretionary spending

  • travel
  • hobbies
  • dining and entertainment

A common guideline suggests retirees aim to replace 70–80 percent of their pre-retirement income, though the exact number varies based on lifestyle and debt levels.

Once you determine your monthly income goal, you can begin designing a withdrawal strategy that supports it.

Step 2: Use a Systematic Withdrawal Strategy

One of the simplest ways to create a retirement paycheck is through systematic withdrawals: taking out a set amount from your retirement account each month or quarter.

One guideline is the 4 percent rule. You withdraw roughly 4 percent of your retirement portfolio during the first year of retirement and adjust amounts annually for inflation.

The rule is meant to help portfolios last about 30 years under historical market conditions. However, it works best when combined with a diversified portfolio and flexibility during volatile markets.

Many retirement plans allow you to set automatic monthly distributions, which can mimic the feel of receiving a paycheck.

Step 3: Add Dividend-Producing Investments

Another way to generate consistent retirement income is through dividend-paying assets.

Dividend stocks and income-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) distribute cash payments to investors regularly, often quarterly.

These payments can supplement your systematic withdrawals.

Potential dividend sources include:

  • dividend-paying blue-chip stocks
  • dividend-focused ETFs
  • real estate investment trusts (REITs)
  • high-quality corporate bonds

For example, a portfolio producing a 3 percent dividend yield on a $600,000 investment could generate about $18,000 annually, or $1,500 per month before taxes.

Dividend income may help reduce how much you need to sell during market downturns, which can help protect your portfolio from sequence-of-returns risk.

Step 4: Consider Guaranteed Income Options

Some retirees prefer adding income sources that resemble traditional pensions.

Annuities are insurance products that convert a lump sum into guaranteed payments for a fixed period or for life.

Common types include:

  • Immediate annuities: Begin paying income shortly after purchase.
  • Deferred income annuities: Start payments later in retirement.
  • Longevity annuities: Designed to protect against the risk of outliving your savings.

For example, converting a portion of your 401(k) into an immediate annuity may produce monthly payments that continue regardless of market conditions.

While annuities provide stability, they typically limit flexibility and may involve fees, so many retirees use them only for part of their retirement savings.

Step 5: Manage Taxes and Required Minimum Distributions

Withdrawals from traditional 401(k) accounts are typically taxed as ordinary income.

After age 73, the Internal Revenue Service also requires minimum distributions (RMDs), which mandate that retirees withdraw a certain percentage of their retirement accounts each year.

Tax planning strategies may include:

  • gradual withdrawals before RMD age
  • Roth IRA conversions during lower-income years
  • coordinating withdrawals with Social Security income

Managing these factors carefully can help reduce taxes and preserve more of your retirement income.

Step 6: Build a Balanced Retirement Income Plan

The most resilient retirement paycheck strategies combine several income sources.

Diversifying income streams can reduce reliance on any single source and provide greater financial stability throughout retirement.

Keep in Mind
  • Market volatility can affect withdrawal sustainability if downturns occur early in retirement.
  • Inflation reduces purchasing power over time, especially during long retirements.
  • Longevity risk means your income plan may need to support 25–30 years or more.
  • Adjusting withdrawals during weak market years and maintaining a diversified portfolio can help your retirement income last longer.
Frequently Asked Questions About Turning a 401(k) Into Monthly Income How Much Monthly Income Can a 401(k) Provide?

The amount of income a 401(k) can generate depends on your account balance, withdrawal rate, and investment returns. Withdrawing about 4 percent annually is a common guideline. For example, a $750,000 retirement account could generate roughly $30,000 per year, or about $2,500 per month. However, retirees often supplement withdrawals with Social Security benefits, dividend income, or annuities. Retirement spending needs, health care costs, and expected lifespan should all be considered when estimating how much monthly income your 401(k) can support.

Can You Set Up Automatic Monthly Payments From a 401(k)?

Yes, most retirement plan providers allow you to schedule automatic distributions from your account. These systematic withdrawals can be set up monthly, quarterly, or annually, depending on your preference. Many retirees choose monthly payments to create a predictable “retirement paycheck.” Distribution amounts can often be adjusted over time to account for inflation, investment performance, or changes in spending needs. Automatic withdrawals may help budget discipline and avoid large lump-sum withdrawals that could disrupt long-term portfolio sustainability.

What Is the Biggest Risk When Withdrawing From a 401(k)?

Sequence-of-returns risk, which occurs when major market losses happen early in retirement while you are withdrawing funds, is one of the biggest. Early losses can permanently reduce your portfolio and shorten lifespans. Retirees often manage this risk by holding diversified investments, maintaining a cash buffer, and adjusting withdrawals during market downturns. Strategies such as dividend income and annuities may also reduce the need to sell investments during periods of market stress, helping preserve long-term retirement income stability.

The Epoch Times copyright © 2026. The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors. They are meant for general informational purposes only and should not be construed or interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation. The Epoch Times does not provide investment, tax, legal, financial planning, estate planning, or any other personal finance advice. The Epoch Times holds no liability for the accuracy or timeliness of the information provided.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 12:50

Hormuz Bypasses Maxed Out: Saudi East-West Pipeline Hits Record 7 MMb/d, As UAE Fujairah Crude Loadings Reach Capacity

Zero Hedge -

Hormuz Bypasses Maxed Out: Saudi East-West Pipeline Hits Record 7 MMb/d, As UAE Fujairah Crude Loadings Reach Capacity

The ramp up in Saudi Arabia's Hormuz-bypassing East-West pipeline has been nothing short of remarkable.

Two days after we reported that flow through the pipeline which crosses Saudi Arabia east to west for oil flows (hence the name) and is also known as the Abqaiq-Yanbu pipeline for nat gas flows had doubled from roughly 1.5 million before the war, today Bloomberg updates on the latest flow numbers and it now appears that the crucial East-West pipeline is pumping oil at its full capacity of 7 million barrels a day. 

Crude exports via Yanbu have now reached about 5 million barrels a day and the kingdom is also exporting 700,000 to 900,000 barrels a day of refined products, according to the Bloomberg source familiar with the Saudi oil industry. Of the 7 million barrels a day that go through the pipeline, 2 million are destined for Saudi refineries. 

This remarkable achievement, which many experts predicted would take weeks longer to achieve, is the culmination of the kingdom’s longstanding contingency plan for keeping its oil flowing after the effective closure of their main export route. Meanwhile, the Red Sea next to the Saudi port terminal of Yanbu is becoming a bit of a tanker parking lot as flotillas of tankers patiently await to collect the oil, providing an important lifeline for global supply.

As reported previously, Saudi Arabia has been preparing for decades for the worst-case scenario of Hormuz closing. It put its contingency plan to work within hours of the first US and Israeli strikes on Iran, and has been ramping up east-west shipments ever since. Running the breadth of the Arabian Peninsula from the massive oil fields in the east of the country to the industrial port city of Yanbu, the pipeline is more than 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) long. It’s a by-product of a previous conflict - the 1980s Iran-Iraq war - which saw attacks on ships in the Strait, but nothing like the unprecedented near-closure the current conflict has caused.

Despite the record flow, the Yanbu route still only partly offsets the hit to supply from shutting Hormuz, through which about 15 million barrels a day of crude shipments passed before the war. But the bypass is one reason oil prices haven’t reached the crisis-level highs of previous supply shocks. 

However, with Yemen’s Houthis now saying they are entering the war, the concern for oil markets will be that the Red Sea becomes a new front in the conflict. While the Houthis have not given any indication they would attack tankers going through the Red Sea and Bab El-Mandeb strait, they have previously threatened shipping in the area with drones and missiles.

UAE's Fujairah Nears Capacity

It's not just Saudi Arabia that has been ramping up its options to bypass the Strait: the United Arab Emirates has also maxed out oil exports from a vital port that lies outside the Strait of Hormuz, after some of the biggest crude loading infrastructure resumed operations following Iranian drone strikes earlier this month.

The largest crude operations by Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) in Fujairah are picking up after they had halted March 14. The port in the UAE’s east coast has a critical role as an outlet for oil bypassing the all-but shut Hormuz waterway, making it among the energy sites most frequently targeted by Tehran. After Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea port of Yanbu, it’s the biggest exit point for Persian Gulf crude circumventing the maritime chokepoint.

As Bloomberg reports, the return of much of Adnoc’s operations helped push up crude loading to about 1.9 million barrels a day over the March 20-24 period. That’s up 57% from the average flows of about 1.21 million barrels a day over the past year, as the UAE pushes to get more cargoes out through the route with Hormuz still mostly blocked.

The latest crude oil export figures suggest a 252-mile (406-kilometer) Adnoc-owned pipeline - linking Habshan, the collection point for Abu Dhabi’s onshore fields, to the port - is operating close to its capacity.

The uptick compares with an average of 1.48 million barrels a day for the month through March 24. More recent exports still need to be verified as electronic jamming is widely blocking the transmission of satellite signals that allow tracking in the region.

Fujairah’s proximity to Iran - it’s about 80 miles (130 kilometers) south of Hormuz, nestled in the shadow of the Al Hajar mountains - makes it more vulnerable than Yanbu. Over the past four weeks, Tehran has attacked Fujairah at least seven times, destroying storage tanks and causing fires in a petrochemicals complex.

Besides crude oil, Fujairah also has large fuel-loading operations. Part of that system is still out of commission, after a key manifold was damaged in a strike more than three weeks ago. Most fuel is currently being loaded via an older section of the port, which connects directly to the ship berths without going via the manifold, according to people with knowledge of the situation. Refineries, including one run by a unit of Vitol Group, are still halted.

Fujairah — which became a refueling port for tankers during the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s, before the construction of storage tanks at the turn of the century — exported its first crude in 2012.

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“It took foresight to build a pipeline that bypasses the strait and was an effort to reduce dependence on a single chokepoint,” said Ben Cahill, director for energy markets and policy at the University of Texas at Austin’s center for energy. “At this point, every barrel matters.”

Still, Iranian attacks have deterred some shippers from calling at Fujairah, while loading systems and storage tanks — especially at the port’s product terminals — have been damaged.  More importantly, those initial strikes damaged systems in the port, known as the Matrix Manifolds, which manage the flow of oil from each of the tank farms. Refined products are pumped through a complex web of piping arriving at a single point where the flows are then directed to any of more than a dozen ship berths.

A tank farm run by companies including Royal Vopak of the Netherlands and Dubai’s Emirates National Oil Co. halted loadings when the initial strikes crippled the manifolds, according to the people who asked not to be identified discussing operational issues. Loading from the Vopak Horizon terminal restarted late this week, according to a March 26 report from Inchchape Shipping Services.

Now Fujairah is working to restore full export capacity for refined products from a vast network of storage tanks that can store up to 70 million barrels. Fujairah has also developed into one of the top three ports for bunker fuel — the propellant used by ships — although the effective closure of Hormuz has curbed demand.

According to Bloomberg, traders took a net 404,000 barrels of fuel out of Fujairah’s tanks in the week through March 23, representing a 2.8% decline in stocks, according to data from the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone and compiled by Platts, a unit of S&P Global Inc. While some terminal operators are trying to empty their tanks to reduce fire risks, others have been reluctant to load for fear that would make them a target, according to people familiar with the operations.

Finally, taking a look at the Hormuz closure, which remains Iran's only remaining Trump card and which Tehran has now played, increasingly more ships are now crossing: in addition to China and India, traditionally the biggest export clients of gulf oil, Japan has also reportedly reached a deal with Iran to be allowed passage. This morning, Thailand Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul said his country had negotiated an agreement with Iran to allow the safe passage of Thai oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

Anutin said the agreement would ease some concerns about Thailand’s oil supply. The Thai Ministry of Foreign Affairs said this week it had successfully secured the passage through the strait of a tanker owned by the Bangchak Corporation, a Thai energy conglomerate. Earlier this month Iran said its forces fired on a Thai-flagged cargo ship, Mayuree Naree, which caught fire north of Oman after being hit by an unknown projectile. Three crew members went missing and another 20 were rescued.

Also on Saturday morning, ship tracking services reported that two LPG tankers and two bulk carriers exited the Gulf, with all four ships following a northern route that passes through the narrow gap between the two Iranian islands of Larak and Qeshm which many speculate the US will seek to take over with a marine invasion due to their critical importance in halting strait traffic.

 

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 12:15

Audits Spotlight Unusual Trends In Medicaid Spending For Autism Care

Zero Hedge -

Audits Spotlight Unusual Trends In Medicaid Spending For Autism Care

Authored by Sylvia Xu via The Epoch Times,

One in 31 U.S. children has an autism diagnosis. Among Minnesota’s Somali community, that number jumps to one in 12.

That discrepancy made headlines last fall when the Department of Justice charged a Somali woman with netting millions in fraudulent autism services.

Now, state and federal investigators are putting autism spending in the spotlight.

The September 2025 federal indictment alleged that a therapy center—run by 28-year-old Asha Farhan Hassan—recruited Somali children for an autism services program that was then reimbursed by Medicaid.

The White House pointed to the indictment on March 16 in an executive order announcing the creation of a federal task force to eliminate fraud.

“The staggering fraud and waste in Minnesota alone is a case in point,”  the order reads.

“There is also strong reason to believe that similar problems exist in other States, including California, Illinois, New York, Maine, and Colorado.”

Nationwide, Medicaid spending for autism therapy services increased by over 200 percent between 2018 and 2024—nearly four times the rate of overall Medicaid spending. In some states, the increase was much higher.

The surge is linked to what Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has called an autism epidemic, including “an alarming escalation in case severity, and increasingly stark disparities across racial and ethnic groups.”

However, investigators say the rise in spending can’t be explained by the increase in diagnoses or escalation in severity alone.

Meanwhile, a series of federal audits has drawn attention to four states where auditors found millions in “improper” or incorrectly billed payments for Medicaid-funded autism services.

Here is a look at states that have uncovered higher-than-usual Medicaid spending for autism services.

Minnesota

Since 2018, Minnesota has spent more than $18 billion on 14 Medicaid programs considered “high risk” for fraud, Assistant U.S. Attorney Joe Thompson said in December.

More than $9 billion of that money went to fraud, Thompson estimated, announcing another autism related indictment.

The state’s Early Intensive Developmental and Behavioral Intervention program, which treats children under 21 with autism spectrum disorder, is under particular scrutiny.

It’s the coverage framework for services like applied behavior analysis, a major part of the program.

Applied behavior analysis is a widely used behavior therapy, primarily used with children who have been diagnosed with autism or other developmental disorders. It can include teaching children to follow directions or practicing communication or social skills. Registered behavior technicians usually administer the therapy, supervised by more highly trained behavior analysts.

On March 17, Minnesota released the results of its own audit investigating allegations of kickbacks in the state’s autism services program.

For over 30 years, the report said, the state’s definition of “fraud” has not included kickbacks.

“While DHS could have acted at any time to revise its rules, it has permitted the error to stand since 1995, limiting its authority to address kickbacks,” the report said.

Meanwhile, the cost of the state’s autism early intervention service increased nearly 1,600 percent from 2019 to 2024, according to a March report from the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.

Enrollment ballooned by more than 620 percent during those years.

A state-commissioned report from United Health Group’s Optum division found Minnesota could have saved more than $1 billion in autism early intervention costs between January 2022 and October 2025, if officials had clarified ambiguous policies. An addendum to the January report revised that number to $703 million.

An investigation revealed patterns of claims that didn’t match clear policies or procedures.

“If the pre-payment system being developed now had been in place at the time, these items would have been flagged for further review and payments paused, until additional investigation was completed,” John Connolly, deputy human services commissioner and state Medicaid director, said in February.

“This is not a measure of fraud, waste and abuse, but it shows us where we need to do more work to understand why these claims are raising red flags,” Connolly said in a statement.

Nebraska

Nebraska’s Medicaid spending for applied behavior analysis increased notably over a similar time period. It grew by 1,700 percent from 2020 to 2024, according to a report last fall from the state’s Health and Human Services department.

The number of companies providing applied behavior analysis services nearly quadrupled, growing from 10 to 38 over the four years.

The number of behavior analysts and technicians billing for autism services in the Cornhusker State rose by 761 percent from 2019 to 2024—higher than Minnesota’s rate of growth in that area, which was 646 percent, according to a December report from Trilliant Health, a health care analytics company.

The payment rates in Nebraska were the highest in the nation, according to the Nebraska Department of Health and Human Services.

“We found that Nebraska’s rates for these services have been significantly higher, some more than twice as high, as those of other state Medicaid programs,” said Drew Gonshorowski, Medicaid and long-term care division director for the department.

A behavior technician in Nebraska earned $36.11 per 15-minute unit in 2024. That’s slightly more than $144 an hour, and 130 percent higher than the national average.

Behavior technicians typically undergo 40 hours of training and must have a minimum of a high school diploma.

In August 2025, the state agency reduced Medicaid payment for a behavior technician by 48 percent, bringing the rate from $36.11 to $18.70 per 15-minute unit, or $74.80 per hour.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, spending on autism therapy is projected to exceed $1 billion over the next two years.

Medicaid spending on applied behavior analysis in the state grew by 347 percent from 2022 to 2025, North Carolina Medicaid deputy secretary Melanie Bush reported in a joint legislative oversight committee meeting March 10.

“Nothing here can answer the question of where that growth rate is coming from,” state Sen. Ralph Hise said during the meeting.

Spending growth was concentrated among a small number of providers and far outpaced growth in new provider enrollment, according to a report from the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services.

Utilization growth also increased faster than the autism diagnoses, the report said.

While total Medicaid enrollees receiving applied behavior analysis services grew by 249 percent over the four years, the number of 15-minute service increments increased even more, by 305 percent.

“Utilization growth far outpaces increases in Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) diagnosis,” the report said, adding that it’s “unlikely that this level of growth can be explained by increased access alone.”

Massachusetts

MassHealth, the Medicaid and children’s health insurance program for Massachusetts, overpaid autism service providers $17.3 million in 2024, according to an audit report from the state’s Office of the Inspector General.

The state’s spending on autism services rose 36 percent between 2021 and 2023, according to the 2024 report.

State rules require that a licensed applied behavior analyst provide at least one hour of supervision for every 10 hours of therapy given by a technician.

Nearly $16.8 million was overpaid because the therapy provided was over that ratio and should not have been billed, the audit found.

Further, from 2018 to 2022, behavior technician roles in the state grew at twice the pace of licensed supervisor positions, at 129 percent and 52 percent, respectively.

When applied behavior analysis is not properly supervised, it undermines the quality of care for vulnerable children and results in the waste of public funds, the audit concluded.

Federal Audits

At the federal level, the HHS Office of Inspector General is investigating services and billing patterns for Medicaid applied behavior analysis services provided to children with autism.

The audits, which began in 2022, have been completed for four states: Colorado, Indiana, Wisconsin, and Maine. Three other audits remain in progress.

The federal agency estimated nearly $200 million in improper payments and more than $400 million in potential improper payments for these states.

The completed audits found payments that were improper or potentially improper in 100 percent of reviewed claims. That was often due to inadequate records, such as missing progress notes, lack of supervision logs, or billing issues.

However, the audits also uncovered problems that could affect the quality and safety of care, such as criminal convictions for weapons offenses, assault or driving under the influence.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:40

French Police Foil Overnight Terror Plot: Suspect Caught Trying To Ignite Bomb Outside BofA Headquarters In Paris

Zero Hedge -

French Police Foil Overnight Terror Plot: Suspect Caught Trying To Ignite Bomb Outside BofA Headquarters In Paris

French anti-terrorism authorities thwarted an attempted attack early Saturday morning when police arrested a suspect as he tried to ignite an explosive device directly in front of the Bank of America headquarters in Paris. 

The incident unfolded around 3:25-3:30 a.m. when officers from the Paris police's BAC (Brigade Anti-Criminalité) unit, already on heightened patrol near the building due to prior threats, spotted the individual attempting to set fire to the device with a lighter. The device consisted of a 5-liter transparent jerrycan filled with an unidentified flammable liquid (reportedly a hydrocarbon such as gasoline) attached to a mortar-style tube or large firecracker containing approximately 650 grams of explosive powder. No detonation occurred, and there were no injuries or damage.

A second individual, believed to have been acting as a lookout, fled the scene on foot. The arrested suspect, a 17-year-old minor born in Senegal and residing in a Paris suburb, was taken into custody. During initial questioning, he reportedly claimed he had been dropped off at the location by a driver and was recruited via the social media app Snapchat for a payment of €600 to carry out the act.

BofA Paris HQ, April 2019

According to Le MondeFrance’s Parquet National Antiterroriste (PNAT), the national anti-terrorism prosecutor’s office, immediately opened a formal investigation. The probe is being conducted in flagrante delicto on charges including:

  • Attempted degradation by fire or dangerous means in connection with a terrorist undertaking
  • Manufacturing, possession, and transport of an incendiary or explosive device in a terrorist context
  • Participation in a terrorist criminal association

The Paris judicial police’s anti-terrorism section and France’s domestic intelligence agency, the DGSI, are leading the inquiry alongside judicial police units. The device was secured and sent for analysis by the Paris police prefecture’s central laboratory.

Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez praised the officers’ swift action on social media, stating: “Bravo to the rapid intervention of a Paris prefecture crew that allowed thwarting a violent action of a terrorist nature this night in Paris. Vigilance remains more than ever at a high level.”

A spokeswoman for Bank of America confirmed the company was “aware of the situation” and is cooperating with French authorities. The building had reportedly been under increased surveillance due to previous threats, including a recent video from a pro-Iran group that singled out the bank as a target linked to “Zionist and Israeli interests.”

This foiled plot occurs against a backdrop of heightened terrorist threat levels in France and Europe, with authorities maintaining elevated vigilance amid ongoing international tensions. The investigation continues, with efforts focused on identifying any broader network or accomplices. No further arrests have been reported as of Saturday afternoon.

The suspect remains in police custody, and authorities have not yet released additional details about his background or possible motives. Updates are expected as the probe advances.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:30

Russia Warns Situation At Bushehr Nuclear Plant Deteriorating After 3rd Airstrike In Ten Days

Zero Hedge -

Russia Warns Situation At Bushehr Nuclear Plant Deteriorating After 3rd Airstrike In Ten Days

On Friday Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency that Bushehr nuclear power plant was struck by US-Israeli attacks for the third time since the start of the war.

At the same time, the head of Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom has confirmed that the situation continues to deteriorate; however, there's as yet been no damage to the operating reactor and no release of radiation reported. It was the third strike in just ten days.

The Kremlin has newly accused Washington and Israel of putting the whole region in danger, and further of harming the cause of nuclear non-proliferation globally.

Anadolu Agency

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova has issued a fresh statement: "The drama of the situation is aggravated by the fact that countries attacking peaceful nuclear facilities in Iran are effectively undermining the NPT, the IAEA's verification mechanisms, nuclear and physical security conventions, as well as the agency's relevant regulations," according to the ministry's website.

"Carefully crafted and internationally agreed solutions are not taken seriously by these states and can be discarded at any moment in favor of their selfish interests and geopolitical considerations," the spokeswoman added.

Zakharova further communicated that atrocities in Iran must cease, and nuclear sites must be safeguarded, referencing the latest attacks in the past days on the complex in Khondab, the factory in Ardakan, and the strikes near the Bushehr nuclear power plant.

"The aggressors continue to raise the stakes in their war in the Middle East, ignoring all associated risks, including the danger of widespread radioactive contamination," Zakharova said.

She further chastised UN and international bodies for not stepping up to loudly condemn the US-Israeli operation.

Russia has a direct interest in Iran's nuclear sites, given hundreds of Russian experts and technicians have long helped operate them, and support the Islamic Republic's domestic nuclear power generation for its electricity needs. Reuters reported this week:

Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom ​evacuated a further ‌163 of its staff from Iran's Bushehr nuclear ​power plant on ​Wednesday, the state-run RIA ⁠news agency reported.

It ​cited Rosatom chief Alexei ​Likhachev as saying about 300 of the company's staff ​remained at Bushehr, ​but more would be leaving.

Some 500 to 1,000 Russian staff are there during normal operations, and presumably many more are at other sites throughout the country. Russia helped construct many of these very complexes many years ago.

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Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 11:05

Maersk Slaps Emergency Fuel Surcharge As War Upends Marine Supply Chains

Zero Hedge -

Maersk Slaps Emergency Fuel Surcharge As War Upends Marine Supply Chains

Submitted by Michael Kern of OilPrice.com,

The war in the Middle East has upended shipping fuel markets with prices of marine fuels skyrocketing and regions running low on supply, pushing some traders to forgo cargo and ship additional fuel volumes to key bunkering ports outside the Middle East.

The price of fuel oil has surged this month as the stalled tanker traffic at the Strait of Hormuz is tightening supplies of the fuel in Asia, the key bunkering hub for fuel oil used in ships.

The Middle East is a major global supplier of fuel oil, especially of high-sulfur fuel oil (HSFO). But the Iran war has all but halted traffic via the Strait of Hormuz, stranding supplies for Asia and its key bunkering hub of Singapore.

Yet, stocks in Singapore have increased this month as shipping owners and operators have refrained from buying the too expensive fuel. These, however, could soon start to deplete, fast, because vessels are becoming desperate to refuel, according to a Financial Times analysis.

One trader told the publication that their firm had to forgo cargo in order to deliver additional fuel volumes between major ports, mostly between the United States and Singapore.

With the Middle East's key bunkering port of Fujairah mostly offline by the end of March due to Iranian attacks earlier this month, the marine fuel market is in chaos.

Shipping giant Maersk warned in its latest Middle East advisory this week that "To preserve network stability, we have undertaken significant redistribution of fuels to offset shortages in the Middle East, and are securing alternative sources from different locations, suppliers, and at increased premiums."

Maersk also introduced as of March 25 an Emergency Bunker Surcharge (EBS), "in response to notable fluctuations in fuel supply and the additional costs of distribution."

Maersk's chief commercial officer Karsten Kildahl said earlier this month that "There is currently sufficient fuel globally, but it is unevenly distributed. As a result, we are making changes to our fuel supply chain and begin moving fuel to ensure our vessels can continue to bunker where needed – and protect the flow of trade."

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 10:30

The European Union Hates Hungary, Loves Ukraine

Zero Hedge -

The European Union Hates Hungary, Loves Ukraine

Authored by J.B. Shurk via American Thinker,

What’s in a name?  These days…not much.

The European Union does not include Ukraine; nevertheless and notwithstanding the objections of E.U. members Hungary and Slovakia...

...the European supra-state insists on paying the salaries of Ukraine’s government bureaucracy while that nation’s martial-law-holdover-president, Volodymyr Zelensky, fights to maintain control over a breakaway region that has rejected Ukrainian rule since the 2014 coup d’état of Ukraine’s then-president, Viktor Yanukovych.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization does not include Ukraine; nevertheless and notwithstanding the objections of NATO members Hungary and Slovakia...

....the American-led military alliance insists on sending money and weapons to the Kyiv regime warring with the Russian Federation over territories whose people overwhelmingly identify as Russian.  Former Dutch prime minister and current secretary general of NATO, Mark Rutte, has stated on multiple occasions that the military alliance would continue to help defend non-NATO-member Ukraine.  

According to Ukraine’s newly appointed, thirty-something-year-old defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, Ukraine has over two million draft dodgers and a quarter of a million active-duty troops who have gone AWOL.  

So NATO is protecting a non-NATO country whose men refuse to fight.  

NATO is assisting a Kyiv dictatorship that depends almost entirely upon conscription (including the violent “busification” of “recruits” after draft officers break into vehicles and homes with drawn weapons).

While the E.U. and NATO fight Russian authoritarianism by protecting Ukrainian authoritarianism, both institutions have remained relatively quiet as member states sustain actual attacks.  Seven months after Russia moved to annex the Russophone regions of Ukraine, the Nord Stream pipelines transporting natural gas from Russia to Germany were sabotaged and made inoperable.  German, Dutch, and French energy companies own interests in the pipelines.  Subsequent German investigations have identified a dozen Ukrainian suspects, including members of a Kyiv diving school where military personnel train.  Several independent journalists have concluded that Ukraine’s military carried out the underwater demolition of the Nord Stream pipelines.

If Ukraine’s government was, in fact, responsible for the destruction of the pipelines, then Ukraine (a non-NATO member) destroyed property belonging to NATO members.  Ukraine’s alleged act of sabotage cut off Russia’s inexpensive natural gas from most of Europe.  (Prior to the war, Russia supplied 45% of the E.U.’s natural gas imports.)  So the destruction of the pipelines has raised the cost of energy (and the price of finished goods transported within the Union) for European citizens.  NATO continues to protect a nation that may have directly attacked members of the military alliance.

Similarly, Ukraine has caused an international incident with regard to the European-Russian Druzhba (which means, “friendship”) Pipeline that was jointly constructed to transport Russian oil to Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Germany, and the Czech Republic.  Last year, Ukraine’s military bombed several pumping stations servicing the pipeline.  This year, Ukraine’s government claims that Russia attacked the Ukrainian section of the Druzhba Pipeline (a claim the Russian Federation denies), effectively halting all deliveries of Russian oil to Hungary and Slovakia.  As both nations are almost entirely dependent upon this oil supply, the pipeline’s inoperability has created a major energy crisis for citizens of Hungary and Slovakia.  Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico blame Ukraine for the oil shutdown.  Ukraine’s president/dictator Zelensky says he has no intention of repairing the pipeline.  After Hungary and Slovakia blocked additional sanctions on the Russian Federation and a ninety-billion-euro gift (a loan that never needs to be repaid) for Ukraine’s regime, Ukraine’s military destroyed another critical transit node of the Druzhba Pipeline in Russia.

President/Dictator Zelensky also made a little news two weeks ago when he directly threatened Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán’s life: “We hope that in the European Union, one person will not block the ninety billion [euros].  Otherwise, we will give this person’s address to the armed forces, to our guys, let them call him and talk to him in their own language.”  Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó condemned Kyiv’s thuggish “culture”: “This is the man Brussels admires and the country they want to fast-track into the European Union….No one can blackmail us just because we refuse to pay the price of Ukraine’s war and refuse to accept higher energy prices because of Ukraine.”  Prime Minister Orbán took the Ukrainian threat on his life in stride, saying: “There will be no deals, no compromise.  We will break the Ukrainian oil blockade by force.  Hungary’s energy will soon flow again through the Friendship pipeline.”

Orbán followed up by very publicly intercepting part of Zelensky’s alleged money-laundering operation running through Hungary.  Foreign Minister Szijjártó revealed that Hungary had already confiscated Ukrainian “mafia” funds that included tens of millions of U.S. dollars, tens of millions of euros, and a few million dollars in gold bars.  In addition, the foreign minister has alleged that several billion dollars worth of currency and gold have been transported through Hungary to Ukraine in the last two months.  A former Ukrainian general who once oversaw Zelensky’s intelligence service and secret police was detained in Hungary in connection to the suspected money laundering.  An angry Zelensky again threatened to send Ukraine’s “special military operators” to Prime Minister Orbán’s home.

In response to Zelensky’s increasingly belligerent behavior, Prime Minister Fico urged the European Commission to distance itself from Zelensky’s “outrageous blackmailing statements.”  The best that the Commission could do was a short statement from its deputy chief spokesperson, Olof Gill, in which the Eurocrat clinically observed: “Specifically in relation to the comments made by President Zelensky, we are very clear as the European Commission that that type of language is not acceptable.  There must not be threats against EU member states.”  At the same time, E.U. leaders pledged to provide for Ukraine’s budgetary needs for at least the next two years.

Ukraine is effectively waging an economic/energy war against Hungary and Slovakia.  Hungary and Slovakia are members of the E.U. and NATO.  Ukraine is a member of neither.  Nevertheless, the E.U. and NATO continue to take Ukraine’s side.  It is as if “unions” and “alliances” mean nothing.

In fact, the E.U. is not hiding its disdain for Hungary’s Orbán.  Brussels has made it very clear that it prefers Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party to oust Orbán’s Fidesz Party in Hungary’s upcoming parliamentary elections.  The European Commission has activated its Rapid Response System to “combat potential Russian online disinformation campaigns” in Hungary.  The E.U.’s handpicked “fact checkers” will use the powers of the new Digital Services Act to decide when online public debate qualifies as “disinformation” that must be censored.

The U.S. House Judiciary Committee recently concluded that the E.U.’s Rapid Response System almost exclusively targets so-called “right-wing” and “populist” political candidates.  The European Commission has extended its online censorship campaign to one week after Hungary’s elections, allowing Eurocrats to monitor and censor public conversations concerning the election’s legitimacy.  While E.U.-funded NGOs work to oust Prime Minister Orbán, E.U.-funded censors will be in a position to label allegations of European election meddling as nothing more than “Russian talking points.”

Just as in Romania, Moldova, Germany, France, and the Netherlands, the E.U. will use its army of paid “influencers” and propagandists posing as “journalists” to manipulate the outcome of Hungary’s elections.  

To “save democracy,” Brussels’s Eurocrats believe that they are entitled to choose each nation’s leaders.  

They don’t want Orbán because Hungary’s current prime minister continues to block the E.U.’s funding for Ukraine.  

Brussels would do anything for martial-law-holdover-president/dictator Zelensky and non-E.U. Ukraine.  

But allowing the citizens of E.U.-member Hungary to vote for their own national interests?  That simply won’t do.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 08:10

A Kid Just 3D-Printed A $97 MANPAD Rocket Launcher

Zero Hedge -

A Kid Just 3D-Printed A $97 MANPAD Rocket Launcher

A viral video circulating on X appears to show a young developer unveiling a 3D-printed proof-of-concept prototype of a shoulder-fired surface-to-air missile system, or MANPADS, built for less than $100.

According to the project page on GitHub, the five-minute video showcases a "proof-of-concept prototype of a low-cost rocket launcher and guided rocket system built using consumer electronics and 3D-printed components."

The project description says the system uses an onboard flight computer, inertial measurement hardware, and a sensor stack that includes GPS, compass, and barometric modules to determine orientation and transmit telemetry.

At the end of the video, the developer says the prototype was only made possible because "modern tools, additive manufacturing, consumer electronics, and rapid prototyping have shattered the old barriers that once confined advanced hardware to well-funded laboratories."

He added, "This prototype explores what happens when these tools are pushed into defense, creating systems that are powerful, modular, and scalable in ways that were once impossible." 

The big takeaway is that 3D printing and consumer electronics are turning weapons into scalable hardware. Together, they are making warfare cheaper, faster, more decentralized, and more accessible to civilians. This technology has already appeared on modern battlefields, from FPV drones in Ukraine equipped with shaped charges to low-cost Iranian drones. 

Warfare has been permanently changed, as the hyper-development seen over the last four years in Ukraine and elsewhere has pulled 2030s-era war technology into the present.

Perhaps the kid has a future in working for some 'war unicorn' that produces low-cost war tech. That's certainly what the Department of War is searching for. He created a prototype MANPADS for $97. The Army currently pays $400,000 per unit.

*  *  *  ULTRA COMBO

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/28/2026 - 07:35

10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture -

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads:

God is a comedian A stiff drink is recommended. A philosophical meditation on the absurdity of the current moment, delivered with the kind of dark humor the times demand.It is a well-established fact that the universe has a sense of humour. It is less well-established, but increasingly obvious, that the humour is of the kind best enjoyed from a great distance, like, let’s say the moon. Three weeks into the Iran war, reality has passed through the looking glass, out the other side, and is now selling tickets to the gift shop. What follows is not satire. Satire requires exaggeration, and you cannot exaggerate something that is already operating at maximum absurdity. This is simply the news, and nothing but the news. Told straight, in a universe that has clearly stopped taking its medication. (Gold and Geopolitics)

Google Has a Secret Reference Desk. Here’s How to Use It. 40 Google features to find exactly what you need, the alternative search engines that do things Google won’t, and the reference desk framework underneath all of it. (Card Catalog)

In search of Banksy: The British street artist’s identity has been debated, and closely guarded, for decades. A quest to solve the riddle took Reuters from a bombed-out Ukrainian village to London and downtown Manhattan — and uncovered much more than a name.  (Reuters)

How to fix capitalism: A guide to building a company that defies gravity. (Ari Shapiro)

The Chinese Billionaire Who Says America’s EV Market Is Doomed Without Him: Robin Zeng of CATL can’t build a factory in America, but Tesla, Ford and GM rely on its technology (Wall Street Journal)

Welcome to a Multidimensional Economic Disaster: The AI boom wasn’t built for the polycrisis. (The Atlantic)

• ‘My Client Walked out Within Minutes.’ How AI Is Tanking Home Sales. When listing photos drift too far from reality, disappointed buyers and even legal concerns can follow. (Mansion Global)

Inside the Sprawling World of MAGA Merchandise: MAGA merchandise is its own pocket universe in the world of retail. There are official diamond-studded gold watches for $100,000, promoted by President Trump. There are less official bobbleheads of Mr. Trump, smeared with blood, memorializing an assassination attempt against him. The industry is a cornerstone of Mr. Trump’s political movement… and it is only continuing to grow. (New York Times)

Spylandia: How a Stretch of Florida Real Estate Has Become a Covert Corridor for Chinese and Russian Spies. The so-called Space Coast, with its rocket launches and military tech, is now an unassuming setting for espionage. (Vanity Fair)

Trump’s red lines mean nothing now: Iran is exposing the limits of a presidency built on bluff, improvisation and submission rituals. (Washington Post)

Why I Got Out Of The Gambling Business: I learned to sort gamblers into these categories during the years I worked for an online sportsbook. I worked in customer service, at first directly with customers and later in a more behind-the-scenes role. These jobs required a little bit of detective work, and I often found myself wading through piles of extremely detailed personal information about our customers. Names, addresses, payment history, net losses, geolocation, remarks left during previous customer service interactions; all of this was there for me to review any time there was a problem with a customer that needed to be solved. Through this process I got intimate looks into the lives of strangers. (Defector)

Be sure to check out our Masters in Business next week with Judd Kessler, the Howard Marks Endowed Professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. The winner of the Vernon L. Smith Ascending Scholar Prize,he is the author of is Lucky by Design The Hidden Economics You Need to Get More of What You Want.

The number of Americans worth eight or even nine figures is up markedly

Source: Wall Street Journal

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~~~

To learn how these reads are assembled each day, please see this.

 

The post 10 Weekend Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.

Why Is The Trump DOJ Still Enforcing The Biden Pistol Brace Rule?

Zero Hedge -

Why Is The Trump DOJ Still Enforcing The Biden Pistol Brace Rule?

Via Gun Owners of America,

The current Department of Justice is choosing to continue enforcing an unconstitutional legal theory being weaponized against gun owners by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.

GOA

According to a recent statement in GOA’s Texas et al. v. ATF case, DOJ claims that ATF “continue[s] to enforce the NFA’s and the GCA’s regulation of short-barreled rifles against some brace-equipped pistols, even though the Rule has been universally vacated.”

For those who are unfamiliar, in 2022 the Biden Administration issued an executive order instructing the Department of Justice to ban pistol braces, a popular firearm accessory designed to allow shooters with disabilities to “brace” their firearms against their forearm.

The Biden DOJ used this rule to effectively outlaw firearms equipped with stabilizing braces, by regulating them as short-barreled firearms under the National Firearms Act. This move turned the law-abiding owners of upwards of 40 million pistol braces  into felons practically overnight, unless they destroyed their firearm or registered it with the federal government.

GOA and other pro-gun groups challenged this pistol brace rule in multiple courts across the country, culminating with a total elimination of the rule in court.

With this victory, pistol braces were once again viable options for shooters, and owners of pistol-braced firearms were no longer in danger of becoming felons...or so they thought.

Unfortunately, it seems as though the current Justice Department is looking to pick up right where Biden’s DOJ left off.  And so ATF appears to be still enforcing the very same legal theories about braces, as confirmed by their statement in GOA’s pistol brace case.

This development is extremely concerning for GOA and millions of gun owners nationwide who own pistol brace-equipped firearms.

In addition, the continued possibility of felony NFA charges against at least some gun owners with braced pistols stands in stark contrast to President Trump’s repeated campaign promises to gun owners:

I will eliminate the Biden ATFs ridiculous pistol brace rule, which orders law-abiding citizens to register or surrender guns with stabilizing braces.”

– President Trump on April 14th, 2023 in Indianapolis, Indiana

[President Biden] imposed the so-called pistol brace rule which orders law-abiding citizens to register or surrender guns with certain equipment. You know that many of you are forced to do it. … All of those Biden disasters get ripped up and torn out my first week but maybe my first day in office okay, okay maybe my first.”

– President Trump on Feb. 9th, 2024 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

The disconnect between President Trump’s campaign promises and the Department of Justice’s recent threat to owners of firearms with pistol braces justifiably has led to a great deal of confusion and concern.

Over the past week, GOA brought this matter to the attention of multiple senior DOJ officials and expressed our members’ concerns.  Unfortunately, we were given no indication that ATF intends to reverse course.

To gun owners and the firearm industry, we urge caution. ATF and DOJ apparently intend to continue targeting at least some braced pistols.  But it is currently unclear which braced pistols the ATF believes are illegal short-barreled rifles.  In fact, ATF told one of our colleagues that it will not issue any classification letter classifying firearms with braces—unless it is in a criminal case.  This means that all pistol braced firearms—and their owners—are in jeopardy. 

To the Trump Administration, we request a swift re-affirmation of the President’s intention to end the Biden Pistol Brace Ban, and affirmation of the legality of all pistols equipped with stabilizing braces – once and for all. It’s 2026, and the National Firearms Act no longer even imposes a tax on short-barreled firearms. There is no reason for bureaucrats at ATF to fret over barrel length, or the ability of a firearm to be shouldered. DOJ must follow President Trump’s executive order and protect our Second Amendment rights!

Even as the Department of Justice fights us in court, we continue to seek a permanent injunction against ATF’s enforcement of its legal theories regulating braced pistols as short-barreled firearms. And we continue to challenge the dubious regulation of short-barreled firearms under the guise of a non-existent $0 tax. We will not give up until the NFA is eliminated, and our rights are fully protected and restored.

[ZH] If you agree with GOA and their efforts, consider joining or contributing

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/27/2026 - 23:05

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